TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Rowe vs. Ko

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Koof Rowe, Ko
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$284,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$305,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,076 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Rowe37c154,482$57,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,837.415244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Ko63c100,140$63,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,051.819154.5%104 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Ko63c78,614$49,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,324.7235253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Ko78c52,028$40,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,422.033751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Rowe37c33,483$12,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,386.1219544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Rowe38c26,400$10,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0324245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Ko72c16,540$11,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,680.4729151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Rowe35c14,945$5,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,197.188140.7%33 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…6c9bbacked Rowe2c4,956$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rowe36c3,343$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.538940.4%36 W · 53 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Ko65c3,080$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07816951.5%87 W · 82 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rowe38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14030039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Rowe34c2,654$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.187545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ko63c2,547$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.2728849.7%143 W · 145 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c57…c94dbacked Rowe36c2,476$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.281457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6977…394abacked Ko63c1,888$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.761338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b06…dc03backed Ko75c1,869$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.061656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Ko62c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb1…830cbacked Ko66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f5d…43fbbacked Ko63c1,367$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Rowe36c1,186$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.712060%12 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Rowe35c1,090$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.4712262.3%76 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Ko65c1,077$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.727052.9%37 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f05…c0b8backed Rowe21c1,041$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.593961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6006…cae5backed Rowe35c844.45$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.85616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb408…f21bbacked Ko66c836.64$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.467651.3%39 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf838…2aa0backed Ko63c797.41$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.041376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26f3…a4e4backed Ko63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.651861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe910…0ecdbacked Ko64c790$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2202…a8f3backed Ko66c778.25$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+48.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Rowe35c751.61$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.8518038.9%70 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rowe37c700$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2617237.5%27 W · 45 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ko62c696$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.4818560%111 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x915d…65f9backed Rowe34c519.97$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.092123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-49.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa117…a311backed Ko65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb777…9ab7backed Ko66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Ko63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18510651.9%55 W · 51 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed Ko64c500$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Rowe34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17017850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ae1…fed4backed Ko63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.19850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f4…7343backed Ko66c472.47$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.044100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+88.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rowe34c404.7$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5312446.8%58 W · 66 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x211a…9613backed Ko64c349.97$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.498939.3%35 W · 54 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Ko62c346.71$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7522259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c5…90dfbacked Ko63c341.27$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.271163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3818…c72dbacked Rowe36c320$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.21145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Rowe35c312.43$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8351533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Ko64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10839959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9c…900fbacked Rowe20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607830.8%24 W · 54 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Rowe36c276$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.365253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c50…7403backed Ko64c271.96$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.461838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Rowe37c270.04$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10136655.2%202 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Ko63c241.27$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2713450%67 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…e7b3backed Ko66c226.84$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.843855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Rowe10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022342.2%94 W · 129 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd02c…769fbacked Rowe20c200$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Rowe37c190$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.45552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x465b…41c3backed Ko65c182.86$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Rowe35c180$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.648749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de6…e20dbacked Ko63c167.03$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.281040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed6c…d0bbbacked Ko65c160$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566043.3%26 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd7…b5a9backed Ko64c160$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Ko63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.736756.7%38 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbc4…91a1backed Ko64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa198…acc5backed Ko65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbef…c32bbacked Ko61c151.74$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.18933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0174…f66fbacked Ko66c150.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6310043%43 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Rowe33c149.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5514827%40 W · 108 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97cb…9efcbacked Ko64c142.34$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Ko63c141$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.174746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x44c1…aa71backed Rowe37c140$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.86741.8%28 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Rowe36c136.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0816851.8%87 W · 81 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Rowe38c135$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.35455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea0…41aebacked Rowe38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14c8…ce8bbacked Ko65c127.69$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.693268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c08…947abacked Ko64c123.44$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…f7f9backed Rowe37c108.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbc…5196backed Rowe37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407940.5%32 W · 47 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ff…55bdbacked Ko63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Ko63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10cf…010dbacked Rowe35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6dd…98eebacked Rowe35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+70.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2a2…3241backed Ko67c93.72$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc16…f420backed Ko65c91.35$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed0…92debacked Rowe37c86.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3212245.1%55 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rowe39c83.56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5419230.7%59 W · 133 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef6…8c16backed Rowe30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2411337.2%42 W · 71 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65c1…8d38backed Ko63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.371369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f22…aaecbacked Ko64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Rowe38c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.62934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9840…8b6dbacked Rowe37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257258.3%42 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x749e…8626backed Rowe37c64.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247859%46 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53bb…f949backed Ko65c61.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.521338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Ko63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.43145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Rowe35c55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.256755.2%37 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc82f…a08bbacked Ko65c55$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.252871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Ko62c42.26$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9116736.5%61 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f02…c7dfbacked Rowe36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9be…d644backed Ko67c40.6$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda7…3e66backed Rowe33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.27350.7%37 W · 36 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.