UFC · resolved market
Elekana vs. Christian
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f52f48efa0f24639025173eff4c3a745dd053cd1aa30f11dcd72ec404889af1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elekanaof Elekana, Christian
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Christian | 39c | 20,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Elekana | 63c | 10,500$6,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,905.72 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Elekana | 60c | 9,968$5,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,987.28 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Elekana | 72c | 6,181$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.54 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2876…c4b2backed Christian | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.93 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae1…fed4backed Christian | 35c | 1,094$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a3…e3a5backed Elekana | 69c | 1,043$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Elekana | 64c | 1,029$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.2 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Christian | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Christian | 29c | 683.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.59 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Christian | 29c | 599.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Christian | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Christian | 29c | 401.22$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.19 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Elekana | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Elekana | 71c | 386.17$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.17 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…341bbacked Christian | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Christian | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…8c16backed Christian | 40c | 260$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Christian | 31c | 251.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed Christian | 29c | 238$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Elekana | 72c | 233.33$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Christian | 34c | 207.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…8626backed Christian | 29c | 207.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…010dbacked Christian | 28c | 190$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…ce8bbacked Elekana | 72c | 181.66$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Elekana | 60c | 178.31$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…6d0ebacked Christian | 31c | 177.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Christian | 17c | 175.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Christian | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Elekana | 69c | 149.77$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Elekana | 69c | 144.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Christian | 28c | 119.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…8cb6backed Christian | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Christian | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…6e9dbacked Elekana | 71c | 85.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf826…cd1abacked Christian | 31c | 83.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd02c…769fbacked Christian | 31c | 80.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Elekana | 62c | 78.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Christian | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Elekana | 68c | 75.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Elekana | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Christian | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Elekana | 68c | 54.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Christian | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Christian | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Elekana | 70c | 49.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Christian | 42c | 48.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c45…47f1backed Elekana | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 190 | 65.3%124 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Christian | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb256…b6dfbacked Elekana | 71c | 35.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Christian | 44c | 34.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd990…4349backed Elekana | 67c | 31.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Elekana | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f8…0410backed Elekana | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c54…4b01backed Elekana | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Elekana | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elekana vs. Christianthis page
- Ardelean vs. Conejo RuizArdelean won
- Carnelossi vs. AlencarAlencar won
- Cuamba vs. LeeCuamba won
- Delija vs. Cortes-AcostaCortes-Acosta won
- Dulgarian vs. del Valledel Valle won
- Dumas vs. JohnsonJohnson won
- Garcia vs. OnamaGarcia won
- Radtke vs. FrunzaRadtke won
- Rowe vs. KoKo won
- Vieira vs. DumontDumont won
- Wells vs. GorimboWells won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.