World Politics · resolved market
Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04cfc9a207e0d14f1eb70b6334e7436f4492cd7e75d2f857a83984a237c008ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,244,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,062,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,244,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Yes | 4c | 206,498$8,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,587.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 9c | 73,486$6,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,693.44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 3c | 38,750$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.28 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…403dbacked Yes | 2c | 38,499$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 8c | 32,910$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.77 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed Yes | 2c | 27,399$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…c718backed Yes | 4c | 21,338$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 4c | 21,000$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236c…cfd0backed Yes | 1c | 18,452$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…c85fbacked Yes | 7c | 17,102$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…ccb0backed Yes | 4c | 15,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b3…2f19backed Yes | 1c | 14,071$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5585…3896backed Yes | 6c | 13,161$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b06…0f5dbacked Yes | 5c | 12,815$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f82cbacked Yes | 4c | 12,675$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.93 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…73efbacked Yes | 6c | 12,300$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3757…b838backed Yes | 6c | 11,893$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…f8c2backed Yes | 1c | 11,456$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 4c | 11,181$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…c288backed Yes | 2c | 10,890$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…03cfbacked Yes | 3c | 10,239$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…789fbacked Yes | 7c | 10,071$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 15c | 9,679$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.91 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8c…5baebacked Yes | 3c | 9,129$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 8,872$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.2 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b9…47cebacked Yes | 6c | 7,973$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1c…c20ebacked Yes | 4c | 7,461$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fa…fd73backed Yes | 2c | 7,135$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9880…bf31backed Yes | 2c | 7,030$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 3c | 6,650$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.46 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 5c | 6,000$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd742…720ebacked Yes | 4c | 5,961$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…4f6bbacked Yes | 5c | 5,873$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…a571backed Yes | 6c | 5,581$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…5b50backed Yes | 4c | 5,543$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c8…f004backed Yes | 1c | 5,240$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd74c…d10cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…a716backed Yes | 1c | 4,851$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa90…eddbbacked Yes | 3c | 4,131$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Yes | 2c | 3,963$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 3c | 3,581$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…0419backed Yes | 11c | 3,362$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…e165backed Yes | 1c | 3,230$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66b…9df9backed Yes | 3c | 3,210$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28b…d6ddbacked Yes | 9c | 3,000$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…b811backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…efa0backed Yes | 6c | 2,702$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…4282backed Yes | 4c | 2,626$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,564$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 3c | 2,462$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c48…e060backed Yes | 1c | 2,445$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40c…8192backed Yes | 3c | 2,434$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…0002backed Yes | 5c | 2,322$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 14c | 2,143$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.93 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…faf4backed Yes | 4c | 2,002$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…f069backed Yes | 8c | 1,967$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,839$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…8d0abacked Yes | 3c | 1,814$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5225…ae99backed Yes | 1c | 1,805$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…505abacked Yes | 6c | 1,779$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…7c6fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,762$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 1,755$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 2c | 1,661$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…910abacked Yes | 5c | 1,641$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbb…9355backed Yes | 2c | 1,602$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Yes | 7c | 1,597$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…6d08backed Yes | 6c | 1,567$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…4940backed Yes | 1c | 1,547$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb30f…9505backed No | 77c | 1,540$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a04…5257backed Yes | 2c | 1,464$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf87…e8aabacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…58debacked Yes | 4c | 1,415$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…8723backed Yes | 2c | 1,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb617…37d0backed Yes | 2c | 1,311$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 4c | 1,214$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa333…292bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,162$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…38c2backed Yes | 3c | 1,156$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 7c | 1,122$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 1c | 1,115$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…b71bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,105$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…e7cabacked Yes | 10c | 1,103$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 19c | 1,095$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.22 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…dfbbbacked Yes | 5c | 960$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed Yes | 5c | 910.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…4405backed Yes | 4c | 897.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…37b6backed Yes | 6c | 868.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…0787backed Yes | 1c | 846.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a9…d244backed Yes | 3c | 703.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd43…dc0ebacked Yes | 15c | 663$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd656…e6fdbacked Yes | 13c | 657.87$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe44…3b76backed Yes | 5c | 650$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ef…1935backed Yes | 7c | 576.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 6c | 565$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 6c | 555$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8e…9383backed Yes | 4c | 534.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked No | 74c | 521.12$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.49 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x377e…a9d3backed Yes | 6c | 500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?this page
- Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes won
- Will Kateřina Konečná be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No won
- Will Petr Fiala be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No won
- Will Tomio Okamura be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No won
- Will Vít Rakušan be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.