World Politics · resolved market
Will the Progress Party (FrP) win 22% or more of vote in Norwegian election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68742aa44bbae87a492da5a91a1b2c1e441bbadf7c730e4a1c35778cf2252eff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 56c | 63,041$35,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,163.55 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 43c | 30,787$13,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,568.29 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 46c | 29,165$13,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,818.46 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 45c | 19,931$8,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,055.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked No | 55c | 6,708$3,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,670.34 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 56c | 5,965$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.87 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 41c | 5,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed No | 56c | 4,515$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 56c | 3,819$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.25 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf454…7bcbbacked No | 53c | 2,782$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 55c | 2,767$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…7b2ebacked Yes | 45c | 2,500$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,675$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed No | 60c | 1,462$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.17 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 5c | 1,400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 56c | 1,200$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.99 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed No | 56c | 1,100$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca42…d480backed Yes | 49c | 1,015$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…a5e5backed Yes | 44c | 912.4$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 57c | 900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 49c | 843.13$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.99 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb76e…60a0backed Yes | 47c | 794.74$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a8…6721backed Yes | 43c | 791.4$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 46c | 746$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.53 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 61c | 743.45$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.31 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 42c | 699.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…1f37backed Yes | 42c | 676.68$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed No | 55c | 623.8$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.28 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 546.62$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.16 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 35c | 530$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.4 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fc…5e1abacked No | 4c | 519.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed No | 54c | 428.56$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.01 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…dbcbbacked No | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked No | 52c | 398.42$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.58 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ad…2b6bbacked Yes | 49c | 398.08$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 56c | 353.88$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.63 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 57c | 347.19$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.02 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 44c | 328.36$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.08 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.26 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…6264backed Yes | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…7dcbbacked Yes | 37c | 297.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c9…af3fbacked Yes | 46c | 293.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2255…65d8backed Yes | 33c | 284.16$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…02c4backed No | 56c | 275$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Yes | 46c | 262.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.28 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 20c | 252.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…d9a5backed Yes | 40c | 251.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 54c | 251.59$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.88 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 48c | 249.21$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.21 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…3fa1backed Yes | 49c | 249.03$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked No | 49c | 239$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.83 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb7…0ed4backed Yes | 49c | 230.66$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab2…205dbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf22…8a2dbacked No | 67c | 210.15$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 55c | 207.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…2ce6backed Yes | 47c | 201.52$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe094…fe93backed No | 56c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…86f7backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 47c | 196.29$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.27 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196f…538fbacked Yes | 52c | 188.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…c70ebacked Yes | 40c | 180.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…562cbacked Yes | 49c | 180.27$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ab…7e31backed Yes | 50c | 158.75$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d61…fba4backed Yes | 39c | 158$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…ab03backed Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6b47backed Yes | 71c | 145.91$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 53c | 144.24$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8f…d83fbacked Yes | 42c | 140$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d37…a680backed Yes | 47c | 138.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 41c | 131$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…20ccbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0892…48d8backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…8fe8backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Yes | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x895f…627dbacked Yes | 46c | 90.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf518…26b4backed Yes | 52c | 73.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfa…b4e9backed Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…add3backed No | 58c | 69.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f6…730ebacked Yes | 37c | 68.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked No | 60c | 68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…b6febacked No | 60c | 60.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44cb…e3d8backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8baa…7781backed Yes | 65c | 52.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd72b…e2ebbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7363…ca48backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…5c7bbacked Yes | 54c | 46.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +535.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…1600backed Yes | 42c | 43.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c76…e521backed Yes | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc6…ccfcbacked Yes | 47c | 41.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…9dc3backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7a…45bdbacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.