Us Midterms · resolved market
Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x073955de15b62edfe63b986c03b28cd534694be46527d1a709d9388fe4449c73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 77c | 12,510$9,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.27 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 2c | 6,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +271.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked No | 77c | 5,351$4,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 53c | 4,766$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.62 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 15c | 4,021$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.15 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…7636backed Yes | 59c | 1,681$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 61c | 1,300$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,111$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…52b7backed Yes | 53c | 976.28$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 6c | 932$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 59c | 914.09$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 49c | 797.3$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 42c | 714$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.11 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed Yes | 63c | 675$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 49c | 660$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.4 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 39c | 635.37$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.49 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 39c | 613$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.78 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 47c | 584.36$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.81 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 59c | 542$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked No | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 36c | 425$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.74 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed Yes | 61c | 375.64$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 41c | 349$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.16 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 61c | 329.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…3a3dbacked Yes | 64c | 283$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed No | 46c | 275$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 51c | 275$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 54c | 248$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.68 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 26c | 230$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.88 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked No | 48c | 225$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 181 | 26%47 W · 134 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 45c | 173.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0892…48d8backed Yes | 60c | 167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 62c | 161$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked No | 30c | 157.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed No | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed No | 51c | 148.91$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 49c | 147.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.65 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 40c | 142$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed No | 47c | 138.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed No | 40c | 133$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 48c | 102$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…37dabacked Yes | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…48b2backed No | 42c | 71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 28c | 66.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed No | 31c | 61.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 47c | 60.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 35c | 56.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…def9backed Yes | 57c | 51.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2441…6d21backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 45c | 49.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 36c | 46.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 47c | 45.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed No | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…8ee7backed Yes | 50c | 36.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed Yes | 67c | 33.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…2e86backed Yes | 69c | 21.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb099…aae2backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.