World Politics · resolved market
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc60076b8a299000e668c354b5ef7f180253be03d6584bcd3657ed685cdd440be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,304,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,134,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,304,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd968…d5ecbacked Yes | 7c | 80,000$5,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,539.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Yes | 12c | 50,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 8c | 40,531$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.74 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…74cdbacked Yes | 12c | 37,017$4,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,503.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680a…d812backed Yes | 9c | 25,495$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 7c | 24,184$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.61 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f38…29cfbacked Yes | 16c | 22,637$3,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,646.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cf…e969backed Yes | 15c | 18,645$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…47e6backed Yes | 16c | 17,366$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.04 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fa…16cbbacked Yes | 8c | 15,774$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.41 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x053d…18eabacked Yes | 7c | 15,152$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 4c | 14,016$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.12 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…cc66backed Yes | 8c | 12,496$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b3…0df9backed Yes | 8c | 12,032$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 6c | 11,583$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.89 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1007…17a3backed Yes | 7c | 11,375$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…350cbacked Yes | 10c | 11,137$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f36…6c9cbacked Yes | 8c | 11,115$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 2c | 10,218$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 11c | 9,859$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.33 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc065…2b50backed Yes | 8c | 9,233$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373d…def6backed Yes | 5c | 9,065$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 7c | 8,967$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.4 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ed…4eb1backed Yes | 11c | 7,134$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa56b…9dfebacked Yes | 14c | 6,921$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…1149backed Yes | 12c | 6,840$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +1,419.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d0…8d02backed Yes | 6c | 6,557$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.12 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +220.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a90…51b8backed Yes | 8c | 6,466$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…dcb9backed Yes | 2c | 6,408$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…d590backed Yes | 10c | 6,341$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked Yes | 20c | 6,142$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.49 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…89c3backed Yes | 6c | 5,689$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…f7ccbacked Yes | 0c | 5,516$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e61…9860backed Yes | 8c | 5,483$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…aac3backed Yes | 8c | 5,301$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb37b…35ffbacked Yes | 8c | 5,243$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1c67backed Yes | 8c | 5,190$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1441…e146backed Yes | 24c | 5,027$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10c3…db1dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…97eabacked Yes | 10c | 4,996$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 6c | 4,990$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.86 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…8281backed Yes | 14c | 4,978$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be7…0ea0backed Yes | 5c | 4,923$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb9…be64backed Yes | 10c | 4,775$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8977…22ffbacked Yes | 13c | 4,705$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.65 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfc…207abacked Yes | 1c | 4,699$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb76e…60a0backed Yes | 28c | 4,463$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…3cb0backed Yes | 8c | 4,423$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…0604backed Yes | 7c | 4,376$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7c…9f1cbacked Yes | 14c | 4,342$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe186…456dbacked Yes | 7c | 4,326$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f48…f1e7backed Yes | 8c | 3,995$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c0…8086backed Yes | 4c | 3,954$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a0…51ccbacked Yes | 10c | 3,823$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…9f59backed Yes | 8c | 3,810$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79de…5d5cbacked Yes | 9c | 3,707$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 9c | 3,555$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.5 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 8c | 3,529$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.81 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +1,305.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6484…9d70backed Yes | 9c | 3,455$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked Yes | 14c | 3,413$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.86 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…e09ebacked Yes | 8c | 3,232$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…1d0abacked Yes | 6c | 3,217$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…21ebbacked Yes | 6c | 3,093$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 13c | 3,074$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…7bbebacked Yes | 7c | 3,038$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…7a87backed Yes | 10c | 3,018$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…c1f4backed Yes | 7c | 2,942$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c0…943fbacked Yes | 12c | 2,908$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,874$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe58a…491cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,858$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb584…f688backed Yes | 20c | 2,815$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…3a6dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,803$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe863…e221backed Yes | 14c | 2,789$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,777$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.28 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…c2b9backed Yes | 3c | 2,706$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…6374backed Yes | 16c | 2,684$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.42 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4612…cf1abacked Yes | 8c | 2,614$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa232…d78ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,561$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e0…dc8abacked Yes | 8c | 2,539$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb6…9339backed Yes | 8c | 2,526$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…9d74backed Yes | 7c | 2,524$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 15c | 2,518$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.58 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0c…6950backed Yes | 8c | 2,511$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…0512backed Yes | 8c | 2,491$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 14c | 2,346$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.17 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 12c | 2,149$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.25 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x867c…5d65backed Yes | 7c | 2,138$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 15cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb30f…9505backed No | 80c | 2,134$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 3c | 2,122$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211c…6795backed Yes | 7c | 2,086$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…69efbacked Yes | 6c | 2,039$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc769…f72ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,018$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57a…3d1abacked Yes | 7c | 2,004$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…39d2backed Yes | 8c | 1,950$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a6…f6b2backed Yes | 7c | 1,851$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e36…82a5backed Yes | 5c | 1,840$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…af9dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,802$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?this page
- Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
- Will KrF win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
- Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
- Will PF win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
- Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
- Will SP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
- Will SV win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
- Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.