World Politics · resolved market
Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cee2245fc76fe3da2e33c1cc95746852ea193d587d2b8e43443e8f1b8fb3be0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,432,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $995,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,432,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 134,602$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.16 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 0c | 127,890$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.89 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +1,305.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 55,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 1c | 50,379$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.05 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…aac3backed Yes | 0c | 40,191$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 2c | 37,705$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.3 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53cb…fc91backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 29,404$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8977…22ffbacked Yes | 5c | 26,578$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.49 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…0512backed Yes | 0c | 26,450$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d0…8d02backed Yes | 0c | 24,214$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +220.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…39d2backed Yes | 1c | 24,106$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1007…17a3backed Yes | 0c | 23,000$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4685…4de3backed Yes | 1c | 22,172$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf140…1472backed Yes | 2c | 16,631$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8b…c07dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,474$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…10b8backed Yes | 1c | 15,304$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2dd…b5c8backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e64…35d1backed Yes | 1c | 13,839$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…f69ebacked Yes | 0c | 13,358$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7042…6e8ebacked Yes | 1c | 13,086$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 12,711$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.13 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…8e61backed Yes | 0c | 12,095$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc107…9039backed Yes | 2c | 10,663$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b31…754abacked Yes | 5c | 10,100$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4081…cfb0backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 8cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd672…fbd8backed Yes | 0c | 9,248$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa4…7d0ebacked Yes | 2c | 8,778$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9097…232cbacked Yes | 1c | 8,065$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…ca3bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,530$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c6…07b7backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1441…e146backed Yes | 3c | 7,116$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 6,709$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee5…dc0dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,507$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc769…f72ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,191$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…cb6ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,050$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…30dfbacked Yes | 0c | 5,891$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…5206backed Yes | 0c | 5,863$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…2599backed Yes | 1c | 5,583$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…2802backed Yes | 1c | 5,554$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked Yes | 6c | 5,542$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.81 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c3…442fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,506$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…1149backed Yes | 5c | 5,071$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.76 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +1,419.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…1fe2backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…1850backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac8…354bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,331$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,297$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 2c | 4,294$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d65…529abacked Yes | 1c | 4,205$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 3c | 4,000$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f2…cb77backed Yes | 3c | 3,804$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…35ecbacked Yes | 0c | 3,778$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…ae0fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,673$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…f6aabacked Yes | 1c | 3,452$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…b7d0backed Yes | 1c | 3,352$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b3…0df9backed Yes | 1c | 3,348$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 3,184$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…1eecbacked Yes | 1c | 3,156$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b8…88c8backed Yes | 2c | 3,074$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ed…4eb1backed Yes | 1c | 3,016$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 1c | 2,728$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…f9c6backed Yes | 1c | 2,548$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…3cb0backed Yes | 1c | 2,536$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…a737backed Yes | 2c | 2,517$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 2,451$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb3…98edbacked Yes | 1c | 2,417$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…d9a5backed Yes | 2c | 2,392$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…6374backed Yes | 13c | 2,347$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.12 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked Yes | 4c | 2,347$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…6f93backed Yes | 1c | 2,058$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 5c | 2,020$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.46 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,483$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 149 | 4.7%7 W · 142 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddf…befcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,410$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe9…d1b2backed Yes | 1c | 1,381$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,380$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8846…1cb6backed Yes | 1c | 1,375$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8092…2525backed Yes | 1c | 1,349$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fb…536cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,321$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 1,111$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8891…9ffabacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 4c | 999.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e7ccbacked Yes | 1c | 993.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9537…8122backed Yes | 5c | 862$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5d…88aebacked Yes | 6c | 836.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb222…fe4cbacked Yes | 6c | 816.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e1…e774backed Yes | 4c | 766$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…9375backed Yes | 4c | 763$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c1…9303backed Yes | 4c | 747$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…34ebbacked Yes | 4c | 713$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…c0ecbacked Yes | 2c | 694$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7b…c6ffbacked Yes | 2c | 664$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…89afbacked Yes | 3c | 662$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…ce7abacked Yes | 4c | 659$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…d16fbacked Yes | 4c | 610$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…4039backed Yes | 4c | 585$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…e1c7backed Yes | 2c | 559$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f0…8830backed Yes | 4c | 555$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?this page
- Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
- Will KrF win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
- Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
- Will PF win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
- Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
- Will SP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
- Will SV win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
- Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.