TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will KrF win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,056,867
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,056,867 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c56,028$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.033614.4%16 W · 345 L-0.4wins0.00per pick5cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb052…ff06backed Yes0c18,704$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.34529.6%5 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-76.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceaf…2b52backed Yes0c12,250$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c8…4d28backed Yes0c12,225$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c11,371$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.44521.1%5 W · 447 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick0cpaid+156.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c7,999$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.534121%4 W · 408 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick0cpaid+171.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4439…9c3cbacked Yes0c5,513$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d6…0fdabacked Yes0c5,333$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.673033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d14…8d88backed Yes1c4,859$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c9…b392backed Yes1c4,859$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727c…8cb2backed Yes1c4,859$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d5…9671backed Yes1c4,859$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…c023backed Yes1c4,859$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb9c…528cbacked Yes1c4,859$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…b9e7backed Yes1c4,049$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f02…0899backed Yes1c4,049$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc54…5089backed Yes1c3,239$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f4f…5c87backed Yes1c3,239$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a2d…e028backed Yes1c3,239$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe662…1e3abacked Yes1c3,239$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe131…eba3backed Yes1c3,239$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c10…9344backed Yes1c3,239$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412d…7f88backed Yes1c3,239$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd709…efd7backed Yes1c3,239$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c71…1dc0backed Yes1c3,239$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e2…d081backed Yes1c3,239$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16db…e1e5backed Yes1c2,430$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0da…f914backed Yes1c2,430$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x548c…9034backed Yes1c2,430$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ee…9d6bbacked Yes1c2,430$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e41…f7babacked Yes1c2,430$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13b8…b593backed Yes1c2,430$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x313b…5fffbacked Yes1c2,430$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x669a…cec6backed Yes1c2,430$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0355…9e9cbacked Yes1c2,430$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e69…2a2abacked Yes1c2,430$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe77d…de40backed Yes1c2,430$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa935…4503backed Yes1c2,430$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…4ee1backed Yes1c2,430$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30f…2b53backed Yes1c2,430$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed50…e4fcbacked Yes1c2,430$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c1f…8862backed Yes1c2,430$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x515a…85b0backed Yes1c2,430$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd38…3759backed Yes1c2,430$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bcd…d2f5backed Yes1c2,430$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94f…f1bfbacked Yes1c2,430$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca1b…b41bbacked Yes1c2,430$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf2…0620backed Yes1c2,430$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47ed…0571backed Yes1c2,430$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a8…24a5backed Yes1c2,430$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca62…1b3bbacked Yes1c2,430$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f89…c28fbacked Yes1c2,430$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x125a…3b72backed Yes1c2,430$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes1c2,022$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0813413.4%18 W · 116 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5d…a62cbacked Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ae4…ac25backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7626…96b6backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefc0…2889backed Yes1c1,620$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cec…86d7backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x601f…6dbebacked Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e1b…3146backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff2c…a8b2backed Yes1c1,620$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa111…90d5backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01f0…c1aabacked Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd0…3ac2backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x856c…8fddbacked Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28f7…118fbacked Yes1c1,620$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11b0…ef87backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dbe…8253backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5538…973ebacked Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…ecb1backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4185…706cbacked Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e8…ad21backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaece…d048backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c3…e594backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf7d…8cf2backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8da…2b78backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x772c…94ccbacked Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf81…a558backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc19…d3bfbacked Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7173…2798backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd865…66dfbacked Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…5a46backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a1d…6256backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f0d…2f75backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e8…be93backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8722…d953backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14c9…df5abacked Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30e1…8ea5backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd05b…32a2backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad5a…f8d0backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc469…28dfbacked Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b79…25edbacked Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf859…bb2abacked Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8388…7d41backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…a8c0backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f22…5de1backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0b7…452abacked Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb25e…a98ebacked Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e4…7754backed Yes1c1,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.