World Politics · resolved market
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ee86a850a9f5b495d65ad5e409e5903a1f14ccc78c4e8bfa82fdb4c497b543d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,259,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,301,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,259,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 375 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4813…ae12backed No | 7c | 50,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabab…0c8dbacked No | 8c | 37,073$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…ebdfbacked No | 8c | 34,484$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 10c | 32,622$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,186.27 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 1c | 25,000$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.42 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6b…b0fabacked No | 6c | 24,900$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 6c | 17,289$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.48 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 6c | 15,399$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.44 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 4c | 15,300$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.38 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfe…439fbacked No | 8c | 14,411$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…5df1backed No | 8c | 12,771$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac8…066cbacked No | 8c | 12,661$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce1…3048backed No | 8c | 12,534$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 1c | 10,540$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d16…4528backed No | 10c | 10,309$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed No | 7c | 10,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6382…9a09backed No | 8c | 8,239$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 16c | 7,634$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.42 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 6c | 7,293$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.58 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 2c | 7,000$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa85…2fb9backed No | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…6ed2backed No | 6c | 6,628$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f9…c5e8backed No | 8c | 6,590$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 8c | 5,900$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.5 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 9c | 5,661$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.9 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +285.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…47e6backed No | 18c | 5,583$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.9 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f38…29cfbacked No | 26c | 5,438$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed No | 4c | 5,000$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…bfcebacked No | 3c | 5,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…ca3bbacked No | 8c | 4,197$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…9266backed No | 8c | 4,163$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…dcb9backed No | 8c | 3,962$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3312…12f7backed No | 5c | 3,830$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…9846backed No | 16c | 3,828$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked No | 8c | 3,798$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.65 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +1,305.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f2…cb77backed No | 16c | 3,760$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked No | 14c | 3,752$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.28 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 13c | 3,735$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.59 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…2300backed No | 15c | 3,707$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed No | 10c | 3,490$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.88 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 6c | 3,391$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Yes | 74c | 3,355$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 13c | 3,341$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.68 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcca4…848dbacked No | 8c | 3,302$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 76c | 3,239$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.62 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…d267backed No | 19c | 3,212$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…a075backed No | 31c | 3,177$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 79c | 3,055$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.07 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…1b07backed No | 9c | 3,000$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…2124backed Yes | 69c | 3,000$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…eea5backed No | 7c | 2,917$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab3…85f0backed No | 7c | 2,876$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…e09ebacked No | 7c | 2,829$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 8c | 2,644$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.9 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…d1d9backed No | 9c | 2,643$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f3…4347backed No | 8c | 2,617$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564a…1d19backed No | 8c | 2,605$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c6…07b7backed No | 8c | 2,600$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked No | 12c | 2,500$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb9…be64backed No | 21c | 2,368$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 7c | 2,320$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.52 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 6c | 2,300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.56 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fb…a5b3backed No | 1c | 2,143$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211c…6795backed No | 8c | 2,029$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 8c | 2,000$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.92 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…c70ebacked No | 7c | 1,958$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 2c | 1,935$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,921$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc107…9039backed No | 19c | 1,881$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 9c | 1,872$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.07 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…c4dcbacked No | 8c | 1,842$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…3e59backed Yes | 78c | 1,831$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed No | 15c | 1,766$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.28 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 8c | 1,684$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.93 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed No | 4c | 1,660$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 76c | 1,541$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.63 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…1fe2backed No | 7c | 1,537$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed No | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 7c | 1,428$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 77c | 1,416$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.14 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…cb61backed No | 8c | 1,267$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 21c | 1,253$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.12 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4fa7backed No | 6c | 1,250$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de0…9bb3backed No | 8c | 1,246$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 14c | 1,210$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.86 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 23c | 1,203$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.89 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7042…6e8ebacked No | 8c | 1,158$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…3e6fbacked No | 8c | 1,157$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…bdb9backed No | 21c | 1,117$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792f…a740backed No | 5c | 1,117$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…13c1backed No | 7c | 1,111$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981a…f343backed Yes | 64c | 1,100$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…292dbacked No | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d75…78b9backed Yes | 67c | 1,100$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.39 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb76e…60a0backed No | 29c | 1,074$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6d…74c1backed No | 11c | 1,072$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 8c | 1,040$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 7c | 1,005$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…10b8backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?this page
- Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
- Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
- Will KrF win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
- Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
- Will PF win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
- Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
- Will SP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
- Will SV win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
- Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.