Ukraine · resolved market
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cfe8afc969fc85f4aa92ef01e8c82b84f773ea1cdf198d694ef9da1155393eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,796,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,165,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,796,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 4,428 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 54c | 305,697$165,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,076.2 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb75…0252backed Yes | 52c | 105,845$55,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,481.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 49c | 105,799$52,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,472.25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 44cpaid | +142.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 52c | 104,277$53,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,283.55 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…c6d1backed No | 63c | 93,116$58,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,452.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1eb…4062backed Yes | 37c | 93,116$34,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,452.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7571…1e8ebacked No | 66c | 93,114$61,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,658.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf1…8428backed Yes | 34c | 93,114$31,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,658.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed No | 40c | 92,939$37,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,770.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…b476backed Yes | 47c | 90,879$42,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,798.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 47c | 81,267$38,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,737.04 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 42c | 79,119$33,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,021.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…ed32backed Yes | 61c | 76,850$46,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,865.96 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 39c | 72,721$28,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,069.26 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…67f2backed Yes | 53c | 55,245$29,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,279.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ba…484ebacked No | 47c | 55,239$25,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,276.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 45c | 51,593$23,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,170.38 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…4d6cbacked No | 31c | 50,811$15,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,192.81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 77c | 49,434$38,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,266.06 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…9370backed Yes | 14c | 48,762$6,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,826.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 48c | 48,032$23,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,739.96 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 41c | 44,947$18,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,426.89 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…7c68backed Yes | 46c | 42,875$19,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,781.3 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 43c | 42,639$18,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,391.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 59c | 42,218$24,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,705.48 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5493…58b9backed No | 41c | 38,446$15,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,506.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 32c | 38,141$12,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,801.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…c8c8backed Yes | 59c | 33,357$19,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,663.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 51c | 32,997$16,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,716.44 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 39c | 31,768$12,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,386.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bd…f258backed Yes | 54c | 31,430$16,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,950.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe150…27b3backed Yes | 49c | 31,081$15,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,376.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ba…9e00backed Yes | 61c | 30,665$18,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,640.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…0843backed No | 42c | 30,268$12,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,425.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 47c | 30,000$14,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,849.98 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 52c | 29,800$15,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,553.86 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 50c | 29,178$14,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,496.72 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 39c | 28,922$11,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,594.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed Yes | 52c | 28,011$14,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,473.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1106…9e55backed Yes | 49c | 27,191$13,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,262.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8094…be56backed Yes | 55c | 27,075$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 35c | 25,218$8,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,472.83 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 42c | 25,135$10,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,509.2 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed No | 47c | 24,994$11,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,259.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 44c | 24,198$10,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,567.33 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…2035backed Yes | 56c | 24,171$13,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,435.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209c…d319backed Yes | 77c | 23,925$18,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,320.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 60c | 23,810$14,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,592.82 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 39c | 23,395$9,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,272.98 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfb…e789backed Yes | 40c | 23,113$9,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,229.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 65c | 22,602$14,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,631.12 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…a51cbacked No | 42c | 21,207$8,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,208.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +421.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 74c | 20,201$14,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,960.12 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 22c | 20,157$4,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,809.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +239.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 38c | 20,058$7,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,438.66 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ce…f646backed No | 43c | 20,036$8,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,362.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 56c | 19,932$11,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,695.25 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 60c | 19,720$11,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,814.01 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a5…afc8backed No | 73c | 18,849$13,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,047.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…6318backed No | 63c | 18,616$11,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,909.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yes | 2c | 18,449$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.13 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…e1ecbacked Yes | 63c | 18,146$11,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,358.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 35c | 17,112$5,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,135.45 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f1…75e1backed Yes | 64c | 17,002$10,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,922.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 5c | 16,973$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.03 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeadf…5cc2backed Yes | 37c | 16,399$6,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,097.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…ad6abacked Yes | 73c | 16,371$11,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,982.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed Yes | 64c | 16,293$10,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,404.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed No | 48c | 16,131$7,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,406.07 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 53c | 15,040$8,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,003.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…b36cbacked No | 49c | 15,000$7,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,614.66 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x359b…12aebacked Yes | 58c | 14,876$8,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,638.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 33c | 14,629$4,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,882.15 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +14.4wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 70c | 14,443$10,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,041.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7aa…d0f0backed Yes | 68c | 14,400$9,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,791.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 55c | 14,375$7,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,976.64 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2582…a015backed Yes | 8c | 13,806$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.58 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…91e7backed Yes | 53c | 13,769$7,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,240.16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed No | 40c | 13,364$5,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,005.03 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d338backed Yes | 65c | 13,294$8,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,652.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…620fbacked Yes | 60c | 13,257$7,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,998.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 44c | 12,649$5,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,138.73 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…bfcebacked Yes | 54c | 12,511$6,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,698.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249c…2783backed No | 34c | 12,266$4,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,110.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 59c | 12,171$7,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,022.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d1…c2acbacked No | 45c | 11,984$5,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,545.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked No | 47c | 11,660$5,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,169.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cce…cc4fbacked No | 26c | 11,591$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,614.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2008…7c40backed No | 51c | 11,420$5,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,629.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…cd8dbacked Yes | 58c | 11,358$6,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,537.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…dc83backed No | 35c | 11,303$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,347.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 37c | 11,297$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,097.11 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yes | 51c | 11,200$5,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,756 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…83adbacked No | 50c | 11,028$5,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,494.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed No | 37c | 11,022$4,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,889.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1c…ef48backed Yes | 57c | 10,795$6,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,165.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…a881backed Yes | 71c | 10,677$7,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,597.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d31…cb04backed Yes | 53c | 10,665$5,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,680.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 72c | 10,225$7,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,334.65 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…741bbacked Yes | 60c | 10,217$6,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,156.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.