South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Puebla vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81f9b0338faff9d2ea8f1302de51220e8310f61ab8939896d226067acb04b3fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 27c | 5,369$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.04 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 3,097$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.15 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 26c | 2,590$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.74 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 2,225$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.03 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 8c | 1,740$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.21 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…5c6bbacked Yes | 66c | 1,247$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 1,061$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.15 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 25c | 978.95$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.21 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 45c | 449.23$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.01 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 447.5$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.85 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 63c | 375.82$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.58 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 27c | 286.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.02 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 11c | 271.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 12c | 261.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 42c | 260.16$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.81 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 26c | 259.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed No | 62c | 246.79$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.01 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 74c | 193$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.82 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed Yes | 65c | 147.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 45c | 141.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd56…048fbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 73c | 136$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 32c | 125.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 116$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 63c | 109.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 10c | 99.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 37c | 97.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 33c | 79.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked No | 64c | 57.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 27c | 54.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 38c | 52.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 79c | 47.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 71c | 47.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…2519backed No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 40.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 64c | 39.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 58c | 39.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 28c | 38.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 65c | 28.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 72c | 28.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 67c | 25.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 66c | 23.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed No | 68c | 22.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 67c | 20.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…914cbacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -53%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 64c | 19.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…288ebacked No | 64c | 18.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 74c | 15.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Puebla vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-04-03?No won
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-04-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.