South American Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-04-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x003ae784c3ad5dcbcb9386feada1d33425264b73f8f515d848e5a052a0289d56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 36c | 3,756$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.48 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 32c | 3,748$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.78 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 38c | 2,832$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.75 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 50c | 2,140$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.76 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 41c | 2,111$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.72 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 51c | 2,054$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.77 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 1,904$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.18 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 36c | 996.38$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.7 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 34c | 916.09$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.03 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Yes | 8c | 505.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 58c | 464.78$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 36c | 375$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 7c | 355.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 27c | 345.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 63c | 345.2$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.31 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 336.01$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.97 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 64c | 299.11$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 64c | 299.11$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 64c | 294.85$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.17 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 64c | 292.36$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.25 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 40c | 254.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 63c | 230$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 26c | 228.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 66c | 207.21$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 35c | 202.86$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 65c | 186.41$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 15c | 172.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 22c | 170.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 64c | 156.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 64c | 156.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 50c | 152.1$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 74c | 142$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 36c | 132.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 63c | 125.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 63c | 112$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 96.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 22c | 80.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 73c | 76.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 65c | 64.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Yes | 38c | 63.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 20c | 60.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 60.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 36c | 58.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed No | 65c | 57.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 49.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked No | 62c | 45.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 62c | 43.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed No | 62c | 43.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Yes | 60c | 39.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 35c | 38.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 37c | 37.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…3e64backed No | 65c | 32.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 65c | 32.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a9…4d1fbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 63c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked No | 60c | 27.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…480ebacked Yes | 38c | 27.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 61c | 27.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked No | 62c | 26.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 63c | 25.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed No | 60c | 24.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 62cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 64c | 24.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2923…68eebacked No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 76c | 17.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 17.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…0cb2backed No | 68c | 16.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-04-03?this page
- Will Club Puebla vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-04-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.