Movies · resolved market

Will 'Moana 2' gross between $165-180m on 5-day opening weekend?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23a9f381f714270f085f6244061cae33cc036c07c5040fd1de07537a0b924653

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 2, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $356,409
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $182,404

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,409 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	1c	70,710$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.14	187	19.3%36 W · 151 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa529…0818backed Yes	6c	15,007$939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.47	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes	1c	12,649$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.25	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes	2c	10,343$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.76	52	0%0 W · 52 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes	25c	10,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.36per pick	31cpaid	+120.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f99…9b59backed Yes	15c	9,749$1,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,485.98	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2015…3fbfbacked Yes	1c	9,161$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.61	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8890…79bdbacked Yes	6c	9,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…9bf6backed Yes	1c	8,812$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.34	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	1c	6,900$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.7	106	32.1%34 W · 72 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a36…454bbacked Yes	20c	6,604$1,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,314.57	66	40.9%27 W · 39 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94f2…94f1backed Yes	26c	5,454$1,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,408.33	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	26cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a39…5077backed Yes	12c	5,100$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.94	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	28cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60d5…98aebacked Yes	15c	5,033$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$746.29	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d3c…3b54backed Yes	14c	4,727$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.13	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Yes	15c	4,549$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.34	184	31%57 W · 127 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73b7…9360backed Yes	3c	4,100$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe135…7f76backed Yes	0c	3,810$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.24	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9163…9305backed Yes	4c	3,780$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.98	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-26%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24dc…560bbacked Yes	0c	3,325$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75da…4688backed Yes	3c	2,690$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.83	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf1f…8538backed Yes	1c	2,650$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.65	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bc7…b81cbacked Yes	2c	2,500$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3479…f2bdbacked Yes	9c	2,350$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.14	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed Yes	16c	2,126$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.17	200	49.5%99 W · 101 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes	18c	2,103$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.54	160	40%64 W · 96 L	+8.2wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8952…2d93backed Yes	5c	2,000$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x429a…8070backed Yes	2c	1,985$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.65	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x648c…09c6backed Yes	22c	1,708$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.69	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3b…d67cbacked Yes	1c	1,547$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	10	20%2 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-72.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a05…2ddabacked Yes	20c	1,427$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.93	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb4…ee54backed Yes	15c	1,417$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a0d…38a1backed Yes	15c	1,351$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.17	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x359d…7f8dbacked Yes	3c	1,200$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.8	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	22cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Yes	4c	1,045$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.6	166	14.5%24 W · 142 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f6…6e65backed Yes	16c	1,012$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.89	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-58%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x305c…dc57backed Yes	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb118…da1ebacked Yes	3c	1,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x792d…c475backed Yes	22c	995.28$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.2	32	6.3%2 W · 30 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	15cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2459…8d76backed Yes	18c	995.09$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.41	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x971b…ec79backed Yes	2c	989.66$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbae4…c085backed Yes	4c	969.53$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.81	128	6.3%8 W · 120 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-77.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1166…94acbacked Yes	9c	917.64$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.13	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-87.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2b…ed08backed Yes	22c	912.23$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6050…80d6backed Yes	6c	821.55$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.34	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Yes	19c	777.77$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.78	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes	14c	765.46$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.42	116	25.9%30 W · 86 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Yes	19c	750$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.5	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b43…ffa3backed Yes	4c	669.25$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	24c	607.9$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.43	672	32%215 W · 457 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8163…1759backed Yes	4c	590.46$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb16…3057backed Yes	4c	583.47$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.39	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…8839backed Yes	24c	578.03$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.73	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f78…6987backed Yes	4c	542.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7892…1ea2backed Yes	12c	522.17$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.4	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf240…2392backed Yes	35c	505.01$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.7	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x712f…9fe6backed Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	86	33.7%29 W · 57 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90e2…fa6ebacked Yes	4c	475$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Yes	19c	450$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.5	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes	20c	450$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.5	190	31.1%59 W · 131 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Yes	30c	439.84$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.76	10	40%4 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3826…84efbacked Yes	10c	400$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	74	14.9%11 W · 63 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85a5…c8d9backed Yes	22c	400$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-2.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0970…5ae4backed Yes	9c	367.18$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.79	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a7…9c79backed Yes	4c	351.92$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x497b…31ebbacked Yes	18c	322.12$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.1	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked Yes	22c	310$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.7	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-29%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d1…3ef3backed Yes	14c	304.89$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.26	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.16per pick	23cpaid	-89.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb236…1d5dbacked Yes	23c	300.33$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.39	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	14cpaid	-81.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0070…9f3cbacked Yes	20c	300$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x984d…f8eabacked Yes	15c	285.26$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08e2…71b1backed Yes	24c	281.88$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.48	100	37%37 W · 63 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72bc…f889backed Yes	4c	266.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3001…d5c3backed Yes	39c	257.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a1…1713backed Yes	6c	237.39$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86ed…c1ecbacked Yes	22c	236.67$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.32	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes	20c	233.52$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.29	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x774f…ea29backed Yes	5c	225.17$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.33	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc99c…5c6bbacked Yes	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd8…b521backed Yes	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c1…56f0backed No	78c	199.06$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.54	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+42.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4020…d6c0backed Yes	10c	175.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.55	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1815…5961backed Yes	10c	170.59$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.54	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	20c	163.04$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.28	870	33.3%290 W · 580 L	-77.0wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x36cb…810abacked Yes	16c	150$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes	16c	133.46$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.98	80	23.8%19 W · 61 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x381b…0ec9backed Yes	23c	126.4$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e8…dbc2backed Yes	30c	116.67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x379d…54efbacked Yes	20c	115$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	21cpaid	-53%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a4…e284backed Yes	14c	107.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b74…200cbacked Yes	13c	100.4$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa2…0204backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75b4…5aabbacked Yes	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-92.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64c6…a070backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a5…d157backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ae6…5604backed Yes	15c	99.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3987…eb14backed Yes	13c	97.69$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50d5…a03abacked Yes	23c	95.18$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.89	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f85…1a32backed Yes	13c	92.31$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will 'Moana 2' gross between $165-180m on 5-day opening weekend?this page
Will 'Moana 2' gross between $135-150m on 5-day opening weekend?No won
Will 'Moana 2' gross between $150-165m on 5-day opening weekend?No won
Will 'Moana 2' gross less than $135m on 5-day opening weekend?No won
Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will 'Moana 2' gross between $165-180m on 5-day opening weekend?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event