Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 875-899 times Feb 7-14?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56d61acdf26bef4d614d5d1526c51319aedfdf7d896f3ff9452c11181be8e300

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 14, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $308,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $300,656

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,722 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x29d4…bc07backed Yes	54c	13,994$7,567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,567.47	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60d…9ec9backed Yes	57c	9,643$5,522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,521.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe351…5c45backed Yes	60c	6,148$3,679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,679.4	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35b9…c5d0backed Yes	58c	5,298$3,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,060.95	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa112…d215backed No	60c	5,116$3,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,069.43	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes	15c	4,515$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.17	177	9%16 W · 161 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	24c	4,514$1,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,061.17	230	3.9%9 W · 221 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5a1…3726backed No	53c	4,076$2,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,917.95	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	27c	3,657$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.79	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c81…3b0cbacked Yes	10c	3,500$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.88	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked No	74c	3,302$2,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$843.55	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e6…1707backed Yes	0c	3,273$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7740…cbcdbacked Yes	18c	3,146$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.32	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0681…f713backed Yes	75c	3,000$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-2.3wins	-0.11per pick	20cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x926f…8b8dbacked Yes	25c	2,557$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649	90	14.4%13 W · 77 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74b2…e0adbacked Yes	17c	2,501$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.95	68	16.2%11 W · 57 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-24%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked No	74c	2,494$1,842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652.56	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x260d…9679backed Yes	1c	2,435$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.35	102	24.5%25 W · 77 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-33%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed Yes	19c	2,351$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.74	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes	25c	2,331$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.56	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	12cpaid	-84.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef24…2c78backed Yes	16c	2,209$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.82	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6a…afccbacked Yes	22c	2,165$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.12	180	12.8%23 W · 157 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No	53c	2,137$1,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,001.56	20	80%16 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	70cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe828…3dd4backed Yes	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-86%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c3…1c87backed Yes	45c	1,563$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+101.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	22c	1,522$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.43	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1add…d2afbacked Yes	15c	1,511$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.35	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-73%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f11…b63fbacked Yes	22c	1,500$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98ae…9c6ebacked Yes	4c	1,500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	116	10.3%12 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a93…ecf9backed Yes	29c	1,500$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	+88.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a4…36d8backed Yes	28c	1,448$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.53	132	9.8%13 W · 119 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes	26c	1,300$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7079…a828backed Yes	27c	1,269$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked Yes	23c	1,179$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.11	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb11e…f62cbacked Yes	30c	1,141$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.18	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	15cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc830…a7a5backed Yes	16c	1,135$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62c…3e6abacked Yes	22c	1,085$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.89	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc90…a896backed Yes	38c	1,062$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.87	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d4d…6d87backed Yes	26c	1,060$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.83	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	28c	1,018$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.25	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98f5…7226backed Yes	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	65	20%13 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	17c	999.99$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c23…b248backed No	76c	975.79$745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.57	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-4.2wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	22c	963.81$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.43	123	11.4%14 W · 109 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99b6…a768backed Yes	28c	953.77$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.91	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-72.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7be…cc5cbacked Yes	26c	918.95$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.53	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	15cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3f8…3ef8backed Yes	12c	905.55$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.59	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab8e…3d89backed Yes	3c	900$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	47	10.6%5 W · 42 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce6…b0d2backed Yes	47c	898.38$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.78	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x286e…adb7backed No	50c	881.42$445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.77	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes	51c	875.12$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.56	188	10.1%19 W · 169 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	57c	873.69$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.63	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed Yes	45c	822.37$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.07	105	43.8%46 W · 59 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd58…9542backed Yes	5c	801.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.47	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b84…12febacked Yes	58c	787.01$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.85	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	4c	780.54$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.05	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0b…2341backed Yes	26c	769.23$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1e4…0124backed Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	16cpaid	+112.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ccf…a548backed Yes	18c	688.5$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.06	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes	13c	627.79$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.9	155	20%31 W · 124 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	18c	624.89$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.35	797	35.9%286 W · 511 L	-34.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7865…28a8backed Yes	25c	615.31$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.36	103	39.8%41 W · 62 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0973…8986backed Yes	55c	576.32$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.42	86	15.1%13 W · 73 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	16c	570.36$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.26	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes	33c	534.25$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.01	102	20.6%21 W · 81 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9671…70dcbacked Yes	17c	533.56$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.59	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes	14c	500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74c8…0b36backed Yes	10c	499.99$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	77	15.6%12 W · 65 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a4f…6b7abacked Yes	43c	470$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.1	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2104…a495backed Yes	35c	456.97$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.52	104	7.7%8 W · 96 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe10e…cfddbacked Yes	50c	451.71$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.39	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6c8…ff97backed Yes	22c	451.36$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.25per pick	35cpaid	+116.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2dc…b2a9backed Yes	16c	420$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.4	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f5…4eadbacked Yes	46c	413.3$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.37per pick	30cpaid	+213.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2c4…43e8backed Yes	26c	411.65$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.28	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x874d…ec29backed Yes	10c	408.58$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54a…ead9backed Yes	15c	400$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0bd…6892backed Yes	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.75	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	8c	400$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.5	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d77…869bbacked Yes	26c	400$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x956d…6a3ebacked Yes	15c	398.61$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.79	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Yes	51c	395.9$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.92	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	-4.6wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6697…057abacked Yes	30c	381.47$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.71	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4470…d1fdbacked Yes	52c	381.4$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf209…5d6dbacked Yes	19c	364.45$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89ae…4b0abacked Yes	26c	350$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c41…8d2fbacked Yes	29c	346$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.65	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x800b…9fd2backed Yes	73c	343.65$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.99	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked No	49c	336.74$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.4	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd72…a8ddbacked Yes	20c	316.15$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.59	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+43.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd803…1362backed Yes	16c	309.49$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe746…3f6ebacked Yes	20c	305.76$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes	28c	300$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	122	28.7%35 W · 87 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes	10c	290.14$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.72	143	14.7%21 W · 122 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes	45c	290$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.7	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	52c	287.42$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.65	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81f8…ead6backed Yes	29c	287.08$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.66	68	27.9%19 W · 49 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9241…f41cbacked Yes	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37bb…2cb0backed Yes	25c	277.11$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.07	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x337f…3506backed Yes	74c	268.06$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.06	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 875-899 times Feb 7-14?this page
Will Elon tweet 1000-1024 times Feb 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 1025-1049 times Feb 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 1050-1074 times Feb 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 1075-1099 times Feb 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 1100 or more times Feb 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 800-824 times Feb 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 825-849 times Feb 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 900-924 times Feb 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 925-949 times Feb 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 950-974 times Feb 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 975-999 times Feb 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 800 times Feb 7-14?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 875-899 times Feb 7-14?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event