Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 925-949 times Feb 7-14?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe74c62c21dcbf72ff7fdca581ab81c25b80e492afdadde99aaecc275dddcefa8

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 14, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $199,889
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $119,270

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,889 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	8c	22,099$1,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,825.33	230	3.9%9 W · 221 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c81…3b0cbacked Yes	25c	8,395$2,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,096.57	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	0c	6,040$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.84	149	14.1%21 W · 128 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes	1c	5,000$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98ae…9c6ebacked Yes	6c	4,827$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.73	116	10.3%12 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6a…afccbacked Yes	16c	4,522$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$721.63	180	12.8%23 W · 157 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	5c	4,513$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.86	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x403c…72a1backed Yes	1c	4,500$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.5	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes	2c	4,251$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.15	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-83.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes	1c	3,900$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	177	9%16 W · 161 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes	17c	3,837$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.57	188	10.1%19 W · 169 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes	1c	3,500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes	21c	2,483$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.21	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc786…d82ebacked Yes	11c	2,221$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.83	56	10.7%6 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55a4…5894backed Yes	33c	1,875$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f11…b63fbacked Yes	14c	1,848$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.93	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe828…3dd4backed Yes	10c	1,785$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.77	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-86%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b84…74c6backed Yes	11c	1,530$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.96	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	13c	1,424$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.69	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37bb…2cb0backed Yes	13c	1,393$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.54	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	2c	1,372$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.98	426	28.2%120 W · 306 L	-38.2wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x06bd…e6f5backed Yes	22c	1,362$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.22	45	15.6%7 W · 38 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9671…70dcbacked Yes	15c	1,348$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.1	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74b2…e0adbacked Yes	9c	1,260$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.47	68	16.2%11 W · 57 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-24%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d8…3024backed Yes	13c	1,249$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.61	82	7.3%6 W · 76 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	12c	1,168$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.65	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes	11c	1,158$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127	155	20%31 W · 124 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5396…ded6backed Yes	11c	1,060$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.95	72	9.7%7 W · 65 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98f5…7226backed Yes	8c	1,000$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	65	20%13 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a93…ecf9backed Yes	13c	999.99$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	+88.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x926f…8b8dbacked Yes	20c	981.21$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	90	14.4%13 W · 77 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc90…a896backed Yes	21c	937.6$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	25c	933.3$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.22	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked No	75c	927.37$696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.84	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	17c	918.69$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.05	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab8e…3d89backed Yes	6c	914.37$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	47	10.6%5 W · 42 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ccf…a548backed Yes	11c	713.09$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.18	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa47f…0602backed Yes	24c	710.96$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54a…ead9backed Yes	10c	703.62$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.89	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2104…a495backed Yes	17c	670.79$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.24	104	7.7%8 W · 96 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7704…a121backed Yes	12c	652.32$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0b8…9272backed Yes	9c	595.5$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.6	23	0%0 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	15c	551.53$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.5	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d77…869bbacked Yes	8c	535.01$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.32	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d87…8a2dbacked Yes	6c	523.26$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.97	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…33ccbacked Yes	22c	500$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ed…09cebacked Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb51b…06b7backed Yes	8c	490.22$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	104	19.2%20 W · 84 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…28a8backed Yes	17c	483.34$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.37	103	39.8%41 W · 62 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4256…b85ebacked Yes	11c	467$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	25c	449.97$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.19	123	11.4%14 W · 109 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe746…3f6ebacked Yes	9c	438.98$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a4f…6b7abacked Yes	23c	404.53$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x95b5…0cfabacked Yes	7c	400$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35f7…4cafbacked Yes	10c	381.86$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-83.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac1…c817backed Yes	7c	369.81$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb11e…f62cbacked Yes	7c	351.97$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.29	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	15cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7079…a828backed Yes	30c	338.28$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50ea…c102backed Yes	29c	332.54$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.46	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	23cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef24…2c78backed Yes	17c	316.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.46	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66c…97e3backed Yes	22c	314$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.61	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0710…42a2backed No	77c	309.28$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.73	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	71cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab0e…6a86backed Yes	10c	300.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.96	35	20%7 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b34…7eb8backed Yes	18c	300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.68	181	18.8%34 W · 147 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Yes	13c	294.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.66	54	7.4%4 W · 50 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07d4…9b66backed Yes	4c	286.78$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.48	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00b1…3e18backed Yes	30c	264.81$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed No	75c	251.88$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.07	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	9c	250.48$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.36	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781f…6763backed Yes	10c	245.4$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	+234.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked No	79c	235.35$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.1	122	28.7%35 W · 87 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	13c	230.75$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.08	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4470…d1fdbacked Yes	21c	227.98$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.52	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed Yes	16c	223.33$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.24	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-12.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c2f…66b2backed Yes	7c	217.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	77	24.7%19 W · 58 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc2…a903backed Yes	24c	211.18$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed Yes	13c	207.79$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe10e…cfddbacked Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes	6c	200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	192	2.1%4 W · 188 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2dc…b2a9backed Yes	11c	200$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.86	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a9…1527backed No	73c	199.99$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b10…4abcbacked Yes	26c	192.38$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.65	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4b5…bc0dbacked Yes	26c	190.07$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-38%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25d7…b1c2backed Yes	6c	185.36$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	75c	178.77$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.69	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9174…3af9backed Yes	29c	178.02$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.98	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62c5…31ccbacked Yes	12c	170.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6af…d83fbacked Yes	9c	154$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.41	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e8…77d2backed Yes	13c	150$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.65	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa9…0318backed Yes	27c	148.87$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50f6…892dbacked No	75c	143.19$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.51	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	75cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf011…994fbacked Yes	24c	141.06$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.95	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa33d…3fcbbacked Yes	26c	138.47$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.45	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15f6…e98fbacked Yes	30c	134.25$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Yes	25c	119.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	118	10.2%12 W · 106 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-47%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb24…a17bbacked Yes	18c	112.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ce…81babacked Yes	24c	102$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d53…398bbacked Yes	25c	100.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.43	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74c8…0b36backed No	70c	100$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	77	15.6%12 W · 65 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca1a…31a7backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 925-949 times Feb 7-14?this page
Will Elon tweet 1000-1024 times Feb 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 1025-1049 times Feb 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 1050-1074 times Feb 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 1075-1099 times Feb 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 1100 or more times Feb 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 800-824 times Feb 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 825-849 times Feb 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 875-899 times Feb 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 900-924 times Feb 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 950-974 times Feb 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 975-999 times Feb 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 800 times Feb 7-14?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 925-949 times Feb 7-14?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event