Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf83fb46dd70a4459fcc441a8511701c463374c5c3c250f585d74fda85ddfb7c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,407,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,320,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,407,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7915…a329backed Yes | 3c | 49,104$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -63%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 67c | 45,248$30,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,945.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 41,633$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.7 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…db6cbacked Yes | 58c | 34,213$20,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,004.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…a899backed Yes | 8c | 27,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…57cdbacked Yes | 2c | 27,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed Yes | 4c | 26,024$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49c…8150backed No | 35c | 25,305$8,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,558.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 43c | 24,197$10,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,425.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc874…ae4dbacked Yes | 13c | 22,961$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 10c | 22,833$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.95 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…4568backed No | 59c | 17,025$9,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,032.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 46c | 16,318$7,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,850.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed Yes | 2c | 14,570$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d7…2dbfbacked Yes | 1c | 13,696$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 33c | 13,362$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,937.12 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5259…9d98backed Yes | 16c | 12,837$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…55a8backed Yes | 74c | 12,000$8,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,879.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 3c | 11,959$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.99 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 11c | 11,917$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.9 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288c…a41dbacked Yes | 31c | 11,648$3,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,668.13 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9c…430dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,375$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 34c | 10,262$3,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,524.08 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd7…eb50backed Yes | 42c | 10,176$4,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,324.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 69c | 9,952$6,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.81 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 4c | 9,736$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.6 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…afc2backed Yes | 5c | 9,651$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 29c | 9,639$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.01 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 43c | 7,715$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,287.44 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…0c91backed Yes | 42c | 6,600$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…9238backed Yes | 62c | 6,463$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed Yes | 1c | 6,059$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…4e9bbacked Yes | 69c | 5,812$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…c594backed Yes | 37c | 5,137$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.81 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e9…59a8backed Yes | 28c | 5,095$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked No | 70c | 4,613$3,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.03 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f2…6537backed Yes | 2c | 4,332$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412e…0cb6backed No | 58c | 4,299$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 17c | 4,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a10…4d02backed Yes | 10c | 3,880$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffd…d225backed No | 51c | 3,374$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ca…5030backed No | 54c | 3,368$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84f…d0c7backed Yes | 50c | 3,362$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…ce45backed Yes | 30c | 3,349$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…515fbacked Yes | 49c | 3,100$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…0329backed Yes | 51c | 3,100$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…73e8backed No | 59c | 3,096$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb8…515dbacked No | 54c | 3,045$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…84f9backed Yes | 11c | 3,015$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…7c06backed No | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…f11cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…a84fbacked Yes | 37c | 2,995$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…addcbacked Yes | 41c | 2,995$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…81c7backed Yes | 6c | 2,904$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…246cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,881$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439a…3b79backed Yes | 8c | 2,674$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac7…6b3abacked Yes | 35c | 2,562$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 2,494$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.43 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f1…2417backed Yes | 2c | 2,493$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…2144backed No | 62c | 2,433$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4c…dd95backed No | 41c | 2,203$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x346c…a160backed No | 34c | 2,197$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.32 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…698abacked No | 27c | 2,000$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8588…de5ebacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…fc5ebacked No | 19c | 1,893$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…2fa9backed Yes | 2c | 1,875$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…c512backed Yes | 76c | 1,821$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 25c | 1,800$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.17 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778f…e2c3backed No | 14c | 1,786$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 2c | 1,737$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…5f41backed No | 38c | 1,673$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed No | 48c | 1,672$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…48f2backed Yes | 25c | 1,618$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…5292backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…991dbacked No | 19c | 1,484$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.63 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…1e9bbacked No | 15c | 1,366$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…96fdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,353$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 54c | 1,255$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…7d71backed Yes | 15c | 1,236$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…6278backed No | 53c | 1,233$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…a40dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,193$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…e7ebbacked No | 35c | 1,172$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.78 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…6fc1backed Yes | 3c | 1,139$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 46c | 1,079$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 17c | 1,072$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc786…d82ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,072$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +267.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…1e80backed No | 78c | 1,002$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b12…0c3cbacked No | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 8c | 928.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a86…b39ebacked No | 42c | 916.74$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…b3c0backed Yes | 3c | 869.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d88…81a0backed Yes | 52c | 862.35$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 2c | 855.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…0371backed Yes | 2c | 843.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…f1b7backed Yes | 2c | 824.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…76f6backed Yes | 49c | 760.88$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.83 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed No | 51c | 760$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.