Venezuela · resolved market
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfad6bb4616fcbe1e05677f7aef912e6c3b4b4259ab10fe7efcf9bb64135264f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked No | 63c | 5,342$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 74c | 3,682$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713.04 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 19c | 3,438$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.75 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked Yes | 79c | 3,005$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1098backed No | 52c | 2,719$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +128.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…050cbacked Yes | 32c | 2,400$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad2…54bdbacked Yes | 39c | 2,279$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77a4…c84fbacked No | 45c | 2,259$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…974ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,900$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,843$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6039…03a0backed No | 17c | 1,715$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 21cpaid | +227%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e4…3342backed Yes | 24c | 1,677$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…b886backed No | 65c | 1,529$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.58 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +8.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,505$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 56c | 1,400$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.2 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…5c6bbacked No | 41c | 1,323$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad5…4dd0backed No | 68c | 985.69$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 21c | 950.97$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.21 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Yes | 33c | 946.39$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…f2ecbacked No | 16c | 911.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +235.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 28c | 838.27$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.87 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…af58backed No | 20c | 822.75$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 45c | 820.14$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.34 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 30c | 813.7$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed No | 80c | 768.27$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…bc81backed No | 18c | 717.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.07 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked No | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 22c | 679.05$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.05 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked No | 15c | 668.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.62 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +173.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc12…ce48backed No | 38c | 655.79$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79e6…8336backed Yes | 76c | 647.45$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38d…5895backed Yes | 47c | 639.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5602…acc9backed No | 17c | 594.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3205…4df1backed No | 14c | 570$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +612.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 19c | 555.52$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.71 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…621abacked No | 74c | 538.92$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 57c | 499.92$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.56 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…d730backed No | 74c | 497.98$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 42c | 480.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked No | 26c | 472.49$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…ee7bbacked No | 60c | 470.71$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…3b27backed No | 29c | 450$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +236.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…33b5backed Yes | 11c | 441.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 38c | 440.33$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…1b92backed No | 68c | 410.16$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 72c | 410.09$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.83 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed No | 37c | 407.57$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.73 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf772…3c44backed No | 70c | 400$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed No | 43c | 400$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…31e1backed No | 77c | 384$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 23c | 376.74$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.72 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96f3…05a3backed No | 27c | 375.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Yes | 36c | 344.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…4d77backed No | 69c | 343.07$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602b…0b7abacked Yes | 70c | 339.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f31…9e9dbacked No | 70c | 315.24$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7d…348cbacked No | 68c | 301.65$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…278cbacked No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9178backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90c…0d37backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 31c | 299.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…8f00backed Yes | 34c | 292.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 37c | 271.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…bdb2backed Yes | 74c | 260$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…fe45backed Yes | 39c | 259.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 63c | 256.39$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf273…133fbacked No | 71c | 255.42$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…8531backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed Yes | 7c | 242$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d4…3568backed No | 65c | 234.09$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed Yes | 13c | 228$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 18cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…c01abacked No | 49c | 221.63$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.63 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0221…9964backed Yes | 77c | 213$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be3…afa3backed Yes | 62c | 208.83$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 60c | 200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…4b32backed No | 78c | 195.93$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93a…251bbacked No | 60c | 191.87$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda46…6f40backed No | 17c | 188.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc06f…ac41backed No | 49c | 182$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 38c | 180.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…d934backed No | 28c | 178.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +194.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 24c | 177.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed Yes | 7c | 176$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9c…106ebacked No | 12c | 163.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +717.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 63c | 160.31$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.31 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Yes | 42c | 156.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14e…cd48backed Yes | 62c | 150.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 27c | 149.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ef…d6e0backed No | 67c | 143.16$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51d…373bbacked Yes | 28c | 142.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed No | 70c | 141.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…b7aabacked No | 71c | 139$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?this page
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?No won
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.