Venezuela · resolved market
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8e5bd1143920fd8748329c70d9aee6c2bdd9b2a3515b1f6d87a00b18c892581
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,223$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.39 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 43c | 3,441$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.79 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 15c | 3,282$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.88 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 29c | 3,132$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.29 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d300backed No | 63c | 3,123$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f2c0backed No | 75c | 2,942$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 53c | 2,749$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…53a1backed Yes | 13c | 2,400$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…b886backed No | 64c | 2,226$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.1 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +8.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,888$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.48 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed Yes | 56c | 1,838$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.82 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…f20bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,554$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 72c | 1,489$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 72c | 1,453$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.97 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 32c | 1,442$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.14 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,069$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Yes | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed No | 77c | 981.76$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 4c | 948.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked No | 39c | 930.19$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 32c | 703.59$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.46 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071e…a103backed No | 62c | 698.29$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…558abacked No | 73c | 682.15$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 3c | 675$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…0db3backed No | 38c | 672.05$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +271.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 6c | 639.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…6fcbbacked Yes | 49c | 593.65$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77a4…c84fbacked Yes | 16c | 573.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 44c | 543.55$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.52 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad2…54bdbacked No | 57c | 530.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe764…9ababacked No | 74c | 515.94$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf839…33c5backed No | 47c | 515.38$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…9195backed No | 58c | 502.66$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e4…ca09backed No | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 59c | 467.52$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64e…3c0abacked Yes | 31c | 464.82$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked No | 46c | 430.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 60c | 410.31$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.76 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…38ffbacked No | 55c | 409.04$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 10c | 399.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…8693backed No | 71c | 380$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23a5…2c53backed Yes | 57c | 360$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 30c | 322.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c5…2831backed Yes | 65c | 306.13$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…f3e6backed No | 68c | 301.01$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 44c | 300$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 45c | 300$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…e89ebacked No | 50c | 299.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +209.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked No | 42c | 282.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.89 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +173.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc51d…373bbacked Yes | 36c | 278.37$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6b…297cbacked No | 41c | 276.51$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…fdb3backed Yes | 8c | 266.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…6022backed No | 58c | 221.62$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed No | 75c | 200.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcb…6c8ebacked No | 75c | 200.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 56c | 200.03$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.26 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…8d43backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…f21dbacked No | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 55c | 199.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked No | 48c | 190.14$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2dc…e9ebbacked Yes | 53c | 186.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 34c | 179.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 18c | 170$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked No | 75c | 168.96$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 45c | 158.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 60c | 155$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37db…dff4backed No | 51c | 154.71$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff1…85ccbacked No | 68c | 143.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c94…056ebacked No | 78c | 135.59$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +185%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…28d5backed No | 56c | 135$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…6adcbacked No | 56c | 133.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…7c0dbacked Yes | 65c | 131.9$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602b…0b7abacked Yes | 28c | 129.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 44c | 125.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -64%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90f5…04ebbacked No | 78c | 122.13$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c41…8ca1backed Yes | 59c | 120.86$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d5…d45abacked No | 76c | 120.77$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac49…67c4backed No | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 113.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Yes | 44c | 112.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed Yes | 19c | 110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f39…4c71backed No | 77c | 106.58$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…974ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ca…7bb9backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec7…2762backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…bc81backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95c…01efbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…cd45backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x537e…63ccbacked Yes | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…5da2backed Yes | 59c | 99.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…1015backed Yes | 66c | 95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Yes | 26c | 93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed No | 69c | 85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?this page
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?No won
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.