Movies · resolved market
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $82-91m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1df94c2b5a08bf93eeb7a2b91e6d4a07cc2ed42128edd46252fd331f7aee091e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 70c | 34,453$23,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,473.7 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 40c | 10,462$4,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,297.28 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3779…0f80backed No | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed Yes | 44c | 9,518$4,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,323.26 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 72c | 7,600$5,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.57 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 4c | 7,468$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.03 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…2392backed Yes | 43c | 6,979$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,973.99 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed No | 1c | 6,362$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 77c | 5,559$4,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.96 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a4…543fbacked No | 2c | 4,848$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 63c | 4,552$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.65 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…9fe6backed Yes | 68c | 3,829$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.89 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 21c | 3,001$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.34 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 44c | 2,905$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.39 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed No | 1c | 2,796$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 67c | 2,557$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.89 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked No | 2c | 2,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 121 | 4.1%5 W · 116 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…454bbacked Yes | 28c | 2,396$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.23 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa93c…17b2backed Yes | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.09 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 30c | 1,871$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.65 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…6df2backed Yes | 77c | 1,855$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.95 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 80c | 1,792$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.96 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 31c | 1,440$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.53 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,322$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.97 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…71b1backed Yes | 45c | 1,276$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.31 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 22c | 1,227$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.59 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…9f3cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,180$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.07 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…5c6bbacked Yes | 71c | 1,171$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed No | 11c | 1,081$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.81 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.69 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 27c | 805$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.8 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a5…cd84backed Yes | 66c | 631.82$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.31 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Yes | 77c | 510.68$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.41 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…b081backed Yes | 31c | 480.88$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.59 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 60c | 476.77$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.17 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f4…ef3bbacked Yes | 11c | 440.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.98 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…1d61backed Yes | 61c | 438.4$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ca…eab7backed Yes | 40c | 403.54$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.84 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 33c | 387.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.68 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed Yes | 70c | 377.04$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.31 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 51c | 303.44$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.61 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 54c | 290.84$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.45 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…e44bbacked Yes | 34c | 289.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.04 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…c286backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 78c | 262.82$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Yes | 46c | 254.41$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.62 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 54c | 241.51$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.34 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b98…b07ebacked Yes | 25c | 236.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.37 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…baefbacked Yes | 80c | 233.17$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 53c | 220$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd7…eb50backed Yes | 63c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…5377backed Yes | 66c | 199.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…ddc4backed Yes | 69c | 194.82$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…3d7ebacked No | 73c | 192.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.88 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 28c | 192.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.05 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed Yes | 47c | 173.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.51 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…1f03backed Yes | 24c | 170$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…77bfbacked No | 27c | 156.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 27c | 143.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 66c | 140$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 38c | 139.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 26c | 138.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked No | 73c | 135$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…a54cbacked Yes | 78c | 134.8$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…b625backed Yes | 50c | 133.18$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc726…c39abacked Yes | 29c | 130$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…6020backed No | 23c | 126.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6906…9cbdbacked No | 71c | 121$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 63c | 119.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 20c | 116.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.32 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 23c | 111.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b6…a768backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…b4a7backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 11cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08f4…7700backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Yes | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d48…6910backed Yes | 43c | 97.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 73c | 94.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 64c | 92.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…9fd1backed Yes | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…2a19backed Yes | 70c | 86.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83eb…2ea6backed Yes | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x925a…3e7fbacked Yes | 32c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bb…dc63backed No | 58c | 73.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…7d50backed No | 33c | 70.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…4f84backed No | 33c | 68.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd5…5542backed Yes | 60c | 66.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe052…ddb0backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…1380backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…3e65backed Yes | 27c | 58.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…739abacked No | 58c | 56.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fe…5435backed Yes | 77c | 50.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $82-91m?this page
- Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $64-73m?No won
- Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $73-82m?No won
- Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $64m?No won
- Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $91m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.