Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich win on 2025-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8f6f815bd7cdaf8c17e0364d7b69628533ee49534a4ed9ce566b943d0ecff53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f79…1608backed No | 62c | 18,617$11,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,163.57 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed No | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes | 33c | 13,050$4,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,306.36 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Yes | 32c | 7,455$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.67 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 32c | 7,020$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.4 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 50c | 3,731$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.41 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Yes | 35c | 2,865$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 56c | 2,846$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed No | 41c | 2,580$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.91 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 32c | 2,329$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.87 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked No | 68c | 2,197$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.71 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 33c | 1,891$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.12 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 54c | 1,636$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.11 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 64c | 1,032$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 33c | 970.82$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.37 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…c540backed No | 67c | 790$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…9cb4backed Yes | 33c | 750$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 65c | 731.99$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.56 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…812bbacked Yes | 33c | 670$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ce…f72dbacked Yes | 33c | 640$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef6…dc43backed Yes | 33c | 640$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 35c | 625$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.6 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…b1b4backed No | 67c | 620$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Yes | 59c | 559.32$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…16e0backed No | 67c | 365$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 67c | 360$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.32 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…7f5abacked Yes | 9c | 343$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7545…9132backed No | 67c | 305$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 66c | 286.23$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.91 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed Yes | 9c | 283$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bd…019dbacked No | 67c | 280$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…f59bbacked Yes | 33c | 280$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3f…ccbebacked Yes | 33c | 280$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…5c6bbacked Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.3wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa911…9f8abacked No | 67c | 270$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked No | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…3251backed Yes | 33c | 225$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked No | 66c | 220$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed No | 35c | 188.11$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9845…3fc6backed No | 67c | 185$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…9249backed Yes | 57c | 161.34$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…208ebacked No | 67c | 145$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…8660backed No | 67c | 145$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd5…605abacked Yes | 33c | 145$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…7654backed Yes | 33c | 138.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc90b…b81abacked No | 67c | 138.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…923fbacked Yes | 33c | 130$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…6575backed Yes | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 35c | 114.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…834bbacked No | 67c | 95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3356…11f3backed Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…a77bbacked No | 67c | 85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b05…396dbacked Yes | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0533…ce16backed No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…962dbacked No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec78…b48bbacked No | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 34c | 67.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 32c | 66.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 66c | 58.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked No | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…018bbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 66c | 51.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 65c | 48.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…c1f2backed Yes | 54c | 46.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…9424backed No | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd259…9d3fbacked Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14be…e4bfbacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed No | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…fb43backed No | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eca…01f2backed No | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2c…e6acbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…a800backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Yes | 59c | 22.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d9…7a4dbacked No | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…8b4dbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…6b3ebacked No | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf736…dfadbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-04-05?this page
- Will Ipswich vs. Wolves end in a draw?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-04-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.