Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich vs. Wolves end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad4d272de14ed2f6eedda4146dc2ce05d207135fd1cd8507a5a5c186c10448f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Yes | 30c | 6,719$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 62c | 4,499$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.7 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 69c | 2,354$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.9 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 68c | 1,738$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 71c | 900$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 29c | 849.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 32c | 699$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.32 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed No | 72c | 694.08$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.08 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed Yes | 37c | 542.03$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 30c | 450$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 70c | 448.31$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.49 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 70c | 340$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 69c | 322.58$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Yes | 71c | 225.35$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 28c | 188.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2c…e6acbacked Yes | 31c | 49.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 31c | 39.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 71c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…c1f2backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich vs. Wolves end in a draw?this page
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-04-05?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-04-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.