TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolves win on 2025-04-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,853
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,332

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,853 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb00f…db97backed Yes38c9,383$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,783.411225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed No63c8,094$5,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,096.514143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes37c7,012$2,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,417.5168026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No62c5,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10013857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes39c4,477$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.3141437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No62c3,889$2,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,405.8711454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No61c2,889$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.9479650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes12c2,720$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397.5838645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x834e…8015backed Yes17c2,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.13855.3%21 W · 17 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+102.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No62c1,660$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.9990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes37c1,622$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.6212053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No63c1,528$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.7683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63012642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No63c999.99$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9930851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed38…4f73backed No63c850$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a6…a888backed Yes37c665$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a8…4673backed Yes37c533.51$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.111369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f03…42ffbacked No63c515$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b27…51f3backed Yes37c495$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0041…7dccbacked Yes37c410$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.31127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2751…1678backed Yes14c357.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.141030%3 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d62…f8eabacked Yes37c350$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa93b…7f3ebacked Yes37c345$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe42…45e9backed Yes37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf32…ccd1backed No63c290$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes37c275.68$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.689949.5%49 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x232c…ce04backed No63c270$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1622932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No62c251.81$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0781559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.98742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3075…9143backed Yes37c225$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc00…d9e8backed No63c220$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73e0…b1b4backed No63c220$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcccf…4aedbacked Yes11c200$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1782100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+448.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b05…396dbacked No63c175$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd299…b090backed No63c175$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No64c156.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes14c142.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.869537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6516…21fcbacked Yes37c140$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+45.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf07b…60a3backed Yes37c135.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.152147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed No10c126.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.65413%7 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No59c121.45$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.751,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes10c106.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2337652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No62c101.61$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1852060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb160…812bbacked Yes37c95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No61c81.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46e0…8b20backed Yes37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+94.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No62c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9265557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd40d…3f66backed Yes39c80$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c9e…fb43backed No63c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc7…5697backed No63c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No62c71$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2959958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ec…d991backed No63c70$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+91.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.575242.3%22 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.059938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd132…2cb5backed Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.051833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe019…018bbacked Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.058339.8%33 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1cd8backed Yes38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.631741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71b7…958dbacked Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.283754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad93…c030backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.281747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.283551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0460…e16abacked Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303158.1%18 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed No65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.55853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa94e…c540backed Yes37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc8d…9fcdbacked No63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.517447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78c2…8316backed Yes37c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.54854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.786045%27 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bce…c476backed Yes37c47.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.177346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b3a…419cbacked Yes43c46.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.18650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c3…66d3backed No63c45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce86…f868backed Yes37c43.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.199334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3069772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed No64c39.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514057.9%81 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd249…6a90backed Yes37c35.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.482466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd32d…3c32backed Yes37c32.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.433959%23 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No63c31.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8714953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2af…e23ebacked No63c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3eb…6f4fbacked Yes41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+70.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4128…5165backed No63c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff89…6b3ebacked No62c29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.01955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No61c25.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6418752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb538…f1d1backed No63c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf934…cb98backed No63c22.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c3…96b0backed No63c20.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.342048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d21…3aa0backed No64c16.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.