World Politics · resolved market
Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7decaf7834aa2fda896c60d72b0b41f487b34f04c4cd341e39a27402338585cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $922,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $953,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $922,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 9c | 187,345$16,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,198.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 0c | 87,602$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.65 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed No | 3c | 28,044$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked No | 12c | 20,689$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.36 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe837…739fbacked No | 9c | 15,963$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 74c | 12,661$9,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,231.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +1,107.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed No | 69c | 12,000$8,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,291.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 27c | 9,239$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,739.28 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 7c | 8,600$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.32 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d09…1714backed No | 0c | 8,426$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 10c | 8,365$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.69 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 61c | 8,354$5,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,109.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked No | 12c | 8,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96fb…45fabacked No | 0c | 7,685$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 6,811$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6090…19cabacked No | 1c | 6,260$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe5…4e08backed No | 0c | 6,006$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +131.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked No | 51c | 5,895$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,022.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked No | 5c | 5,850$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 27c | 5,654$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.8 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 56c | 5,454$3,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.1 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…c6c4backed No | 55c | 5,430$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.78 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed Yes | 50c | 5,292$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfb…86d5backed Yes | 55c | 5,284$2,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 24c | 5,159$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920.89 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed No | 11c | 5,048$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 72c | 5,030$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.32 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed No | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 71c | 4,502$3,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.04 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked No | 15c | 4,298$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.57 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed No | 28c | 4,238$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed No | 22c | 4,108$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.98 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…1d2abacked No | 11c | 4,000$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…e65abacked No | 15c | 3,946$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…336abacked No | 1c | 3,907$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed No | 2c | 3,540$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -82%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…46e8backed Yes | 78c | 3,509$2,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked No | 12c | 3,366$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb05…12f8backed No | 11c | 3,174$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…4f84backed No | 12c | 3,131$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.13 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 55c | 3,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0092…31f2backed Yes | 37c | 2,956$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 9c | 2,933$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 140 | 33.6%47 W · 93 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 14c | 2,930$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.73 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…78fcbacked Yes | 59c | 2,841$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked No | 71c | 2,807$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…5c6bbacked No | 4c | 2,801$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Yes | 64c | 2,527$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed Yes | 20c | 2,494$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked No | 70c | 2,478$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.39 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 29c | 2,332$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.09 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 13c | 2,293$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.7 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27a…6b26backed No | 44c | 2,276$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…adefbacked No | 14c | 2,120$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 40c | 2,086$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.51 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 17c | 2,000$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…b0a9backed No | 6c | 1,974$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 38c | 1,863$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.06 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed No | 35c | 1,847$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.19 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x713c…c97fbacked No | 2c | 1,839$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d10…dca1backed No | 4c | 1,830$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5d…bafabacked No | 11c | 1,800$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…7112backed No | 68c | 1,796$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 70c | 1,712$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.15 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 78c | 1,689$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.88 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked No | 76c | 1,660$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.42 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…9fc2backed Yes | 67c | 1,582$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…28e5backed Yes | 68c | 1,578$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked No | 74c | 1,500$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.11 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 23c | 1,468$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.29 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Yes | 23c | 1,442$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7e…441fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,439$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2ef2backed No | 8c | 1,400$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…99c4backed Yes | 39c | 1,272$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…70c1backed No | 31c | 1,264$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed Yes | 24c | 1,226$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +195.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…aadebacked No | 2c | 1,111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…8196backed No | 18c | 1,107$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…eeaebacked No | 6c | 1,100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…3291backed No | 73c | 1,093$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.07 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -5.6wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…0064backed Yes | 66c | 1,078$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.38 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…68c3backed Yes | 29c | 1,030$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed No | 72c | 1,030$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.23 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +69%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…d035backed Yes | 30c | 1,015$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5923…a3f7backed No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46a…05a0backed No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…1427backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b2…447ebacked No | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…f0debacked Yes | 38c | 998.54$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 7c | 977.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes | 77c | 974$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.02 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 80c | 924.32$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.77 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…a5afbacked Yes | 63c | 883.01$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d338backed Yes | 35c | 865.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…1b1cbacked Yes | 29c | 854.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked No | 73c | 843.79$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.97 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b8…b5f0backed No | 72c | 841.27$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c3…087dbacked Yes | 66c | 833.33$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb869…c4c6backed No | 11c | 786$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 22c | 776.26$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.41 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.