Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Cambodia before June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3eab5cbba17e23590d8268f539660832e314880fa61eb5ce05f090ddc115938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x163e…177ebacked Yes | 75c | 33,965$25,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,491.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…8cf8backed No | 25c | 33,965$8,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,491.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 75c | 2,030$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.59 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 26c | 1,209$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.22 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f3bdbacked Yes | 74c | 1,079$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.41 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 67c | 762.76$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.69 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed No | 26c | 695$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.7 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 24c | 632.92$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.29 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 4c | 599$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 25c | 565.75$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.44 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed No | 25c | 400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 77c | 345$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 35c | 319$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 172 | 38.4%66 W · 106 L | -14.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 76c | 311$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 26c | 255.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 62c | 249$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed No | 27c | 245.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 74c | 226$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…4eb7backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +88%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 34c | 161.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked No | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ed…52d3backed Yes | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 33c | 145$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 64c | 140.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…b669backed No | 12c | 135.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 26c | 133$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 23c | 123$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 29c | 120.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a3…f796backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ba…b3f9backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01be…7586backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafa8…4ad5backed No | 22c | 92.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Yes | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 74c | 89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a6…86a7backed No | 26c | 76.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3d…615ebacked No | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 66c | 64.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 64c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -7.2wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 144 | 60.4%87 W · 57 L | +16.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed Yes | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x852e…95d9backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…5c6bbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf27…3cebbacked Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 76c | 14.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Cambodia before June?this page
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Bangladesh before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on China before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on India before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Indonesia before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Japan before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Laos before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Pakistan before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on South Africa before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on South Korea before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Switzerland before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Taiwan before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Vietnam before June?Yes won
- Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on the European Union before June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.