Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd07da514df24d57bc7a3f2355018e90e162c436139e5a75891d485e7dea05003
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $295,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 55c | 29,812$16,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,349.03 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 53c | 15,724$8,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,290.78 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 64c | 11,393$7,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,266.08 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 62c | 11,326$7,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,321.05 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Yes | 67c | 10,624$7,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,456.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked No | 43c | 10,505$4,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,474.08 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 50c | 9,917$4,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,945.61 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 55c | 8,758$4,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,796.55 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 58c | 8,377$4,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,894.43 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 31c | 8,246$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.93 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 44c | 8,078$3,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,531.94 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed No | 46c | 7,987$3,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,664.16 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 38c | 7,415$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,620.16 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 46c | 5,299$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.45 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 3c | 5,005$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked Yes | 79c | 5,000$3,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.25 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 64c | 4,973$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.32 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 45c | 4,458$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.48 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed No | 33c | 4,049$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.16 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 67c | 4,043$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.46 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 47c | 3,990$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 49c | 3,667$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.53 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed No | 53c | 3,603$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.82 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9d3bbacked No | 14c | 3,118$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fa…16cbbacked No | 66c | 3,111$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…67c3backed Yes | 33c | 3,000$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.28 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec2…f8fabacked Yes | 65c | 2,846$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked No | 55c | 2,841$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.96 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 56c | 2,783$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.11 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…9816backed Yes | 48c | 2,737$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 67c | 2,521$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.04 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce2…5d4ebacked Yes | 58c | 2,500$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0e…434ebacked No | 75c | 2,421$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…3395backed Yes | 34c | 2,179$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc1…5fa3backed No | 46c | 2,165$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +227.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8f…d077backed No | 50c | 2,081$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.53 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -5.0wins | -0.33per pick | 60cpaid | -48%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 28c | 1,936$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.41 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 47c | 1,902$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.4 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 1,900$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7a36backed No | 45c | 1,856$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.77 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf07c…a638backed Yes | 43c | 1,750$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…fc5bbacked No | 56c | 1,706$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.45 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 57c | 1,704$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.78 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 58c | 1,702$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.43 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 3c | 1,500$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 10c | 1,451$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.41 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,447$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.64 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 58c | 1,334$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.3 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Yes | 41c | 1,232$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 57c | 1,228$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.55 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 43c | 1,216$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.64 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401c…1275backed No | 42c | 1,200$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked No | 48c | 1,035$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.87 | 64 | 23.4%15 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 28c | 1,010$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.97 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e0…7cd5backed No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0afc…e1e4backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 53c | 948.03$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.9 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 7c | 853.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +12.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 76c | 852.18$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.22 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ba…824cbacked No | 55c | 836.42$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.46 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes | 59c | 796.15$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.05 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…fa0fbacked Yes | 44c | 771$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.95 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +6.7wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 46c | 739.46$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.59 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 54c | 686.92$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.82 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…ddd0backed Yes | 39c | 650$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa4…5bc6backed Yes | 24c | 618.88$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +194.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…f2b9backed Yes | 62c | 600.4$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…ae77backed Yes | 44c | 595$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.2 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69df…cbeebacked No | 48c | 591.26$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…6767backed Yes | 56c | 536.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.89 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…050bbacked No | 58c | 495.1$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed No | 59c | 492$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.98 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 58c | 458.74$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.38 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes | 26c | 449.09$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 50c | 441$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.32 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x115c…dcb8backed No | 42c | 432.76$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 9c | 432.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2f…df43backed Yes | 47c | 424.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…6221backed Yes | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked No | 47c | 398.96$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.13 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 38c | 383$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.07 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071a…d310backed Yes | 47c | 374.72$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe870…6bf8backed No | 63c | 365.65$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed Yes | 25c | 363.86$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.27 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked Yes | 61c | 355.62$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.56 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 28c | 355.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.45 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0863backed No | 57c | 347.28$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fd…95aebacked No | 45c | 347$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed Yes | 52c | 344.7$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.45 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 51c | 340.51$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.19 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…ab95backed Yes | 45c | 325.28$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26df…f747backed No | 53c | 285.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf950…81d1backed No | 7c | 285.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 55c | 285.08$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.79 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Yes | 34c | 284.59$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15de…356cbacked Yes | 53c | 277.69$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.