Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f65517eb17b4fa4a7c35fbb8b010b86438b5f91dacd92332d782f5240ee9fb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $564,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $554,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $564,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 375 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd4b…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 73,224$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…c7c8backed Yes | 61c | 32,676$19,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,932.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee4…fb16backed No | 39c | 32,676$12,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,932.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 24c | 21,815$5,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,271.25 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfab…d980backed Yes | 46c | 21,416$9,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,851.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda09…9272backed No | 54c | 21,416$11,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,851.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 56c | 15,297$8,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,528.56 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x830e…7099backed Yes | 14c | 11,416$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.57 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 50c | 8,788$4,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,404.08 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 58c | 8,425$4,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,875.98 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 58c | 8,400$4,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,855.43 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 4c | 8,037$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.51 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 55c | 5,910$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.7 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…b088backed No | 72c | 5,800$4,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.28 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 53c | 5,433$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.96 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 28c | 5,272$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.51 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 10c | 4,922$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.21 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +14.4wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 69c | 4,440$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,063.6 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 54c | 4,217$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.14 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 69c | 4,097$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.11 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 73c | 4,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.99 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…b491backed No | 75c | 3,983$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 33c | 3,684$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.25 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641e…aeb7backed No | 63c | 3,674$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.39 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked Yes | 23c | 3,588$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.15 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 41c | 3,357$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.82 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 25c | 3,290$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.97 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked No | 63c | 3,129$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 59c | 3,076$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.7 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 61c | 3,067$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.74 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 68c | 2,984$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.55 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 58c | 2,886$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.52 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 57c | 2,826$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.24 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 37c | 2,739$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…d930backed Yes | 45c | 2,472$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd08f…9ecfbacked Yes | 34c | 2,231$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.72 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 48c | 2,220$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.44 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…77e1backed Yes | 60c | 2,101$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…9a30backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…b1afbacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 16c | 1,966$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -79%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 7c | 1,829$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.02 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed Yes | 18c | 1,756$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 42c | 1,752$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 11c | 1,636$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.04 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 11cpaid | +190.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 73c | 1,627$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.24 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 47c | 1,606$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…9b16backed No | 43c | 1,568$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…672ebacked No | 65c | 1,546$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.23 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 1,506$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,501$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 32c | 1,471$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.43 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b2…4e48backed Yes | 8c | 1,412$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.93 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 14c | 1,409$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.45 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…3ccbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,330$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed No | 47c | 1,253$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 56c | 1,246$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.85 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…e4eebacked Yes | 57c | 1,235$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…e8c9backed No | 58c | 1,221$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…89b6backed Yes | 14c | 1,214$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 4c | 1,200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 34c | 1,113$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.07 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked No | 53c | 1,105$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.07 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 19c | 1,101$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.24 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…980bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,054$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.42 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,049$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.96 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d6…0489backed Yes | 46c | 1,049$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.99 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.28per pick | 37cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf577…8f24backed No | 47c | 1,031$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 43c | 1,027$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.34 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 1,011$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.95 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 53c | 993.12$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.09 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 30c | 990.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.97 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3e…3d75backed No | 52c | 977.95$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 15c | 946.05$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.27 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 44c | 921$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xffd3…0b2ebacked No | 55c | 905.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc215…5811backed No | 78c | 891.01$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 44c | 875.58$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.54 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked No | 37c | 851.68$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.42 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 42c | 818.62$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +79%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes | 60c | 818.07$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.85 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…d423backed No | 74c | 816.62$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 3c | 807.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 789.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 67c | 769.22$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.3 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x638a…49f4backed Yes | 13c | 763.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 30c | 750$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 44c | 750$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.41 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…c75bbacked Yes | 53c | 734.42$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…4c13backed No | 53c | 732.75$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 44c | 729.79$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.02 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…ba2fbacked Yes | 35c | 725.58$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.95 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ba…3cd0backed No | 56c | 712.21$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee97…ee69backed Yes | 15c | 709.33$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 55c | 698.4$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.74 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 23c | 644.45$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.72 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.