World Politics · resolved market
South Korean President impeached in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68ff092a4ea332946bc7ca59efc2b2a56bb702fd0d85d02ba883d29d7fdc5f2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,829,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,542,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,829,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked No | 12c | 146,111$17,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,871.27 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb1…9631backed No | 0c | 97,451$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…49d1backed No | 0c | 93,295$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 74c | 76,842$57,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,835.81 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Yes | 77c | 76,145$58,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,760.39 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6875…2789backed No | 15c | 47,940$7,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,297.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf2…e355backed No | 11c | 45,722$5,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,123.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…2be1backed No | 4c | 42,038$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8312…93d8backed No | 22c | 37,689$8,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,406.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…0906backed No | 6c | 35,388$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5983…64a8backed Yes | 50c | 34,639$17,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,467.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked No | 26c | 34,125$8,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,725.38 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4c98backed Yes | 57c | 31,922$18,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,699.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…ebb3backed Yes | 48c | 28,417$13,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,866.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…8145backed No | 22c | 26,890$5,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,816.85 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5898…5028backed Yes | 60c | 26,863$16,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,775.22 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56c…f597backed No | 60c | 26,705$15,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,893.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…a3d7backed No | 11c | 26,521$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 62c | 26,312$16,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,402.68 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4971…7488backed No | 19c | 26,008$5,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,028.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79bf…6f87backed No | 13c | 24,882$3,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,176.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…7dfebacked No | 31c | 24,761$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 24c | 23,785$5,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,676.15 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed No | 19c | 23,364$4,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,322.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…0440backed No | 12c | 22,603$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…38e7backed No | 26c | 22,255$5,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…bbd5backed No | 79c | 21,809$17,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,175.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1601…2841backed Yes | 51c | 21,556$10,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,602.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 69c | 20,948$14,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,493.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4de7…2d9abacked Yes | 67c | 20,841$13,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,961.77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…895fbacked No | 16c | 20,780$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7551…73b5backed Yes | 73c | 20,583$14,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,651.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 25c | 20,574$5,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,185.34 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…f860backed No | 0c | 20,050$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…a553backed No | 1c | 19,884$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 65c | 19,853$12,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,827.25 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd22…19bcbacked Yes | 45c | 19,741$8,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,938.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 30c | 19,465$5,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,818.62 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed No | 25c | 19,030$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.89 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc786…d82ebacked No | 16c | 18,541$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.89 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +166.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed Yes | 28c | 17,927$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,927.23 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…e502backed No | 11c | 16,959$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…254bbacked Yes | 74c | 16,108$11,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,265.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 41c | 15,742$6,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,268.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…08babacked No | 63c | 15,263$9,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,685.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…b5b3backed Yes | 56c | 14,104$7,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,162.22 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…6789backed No | 0c | 13,990$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf039…cb4abacked No | 8c | 12,767$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e7…dc57backed No | 14c | 12,729$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e3…868ebacked No | 38c | 12,655$4,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,852 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 67c | 12,340$8,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,036.43 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 66c | 12,239$8,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,171.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411a…7c73backed No | 69c | 12,169$8,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,356.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0b…2341backed Yes | 33c | 12,132$4,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,086.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +153%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 20c | 11,703$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.76 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ae…6fadbacked No | 33c | 11,651$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…7519backed Yes | 52c | 11,592$6,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,513.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked Yes | 73c | 11,514$8,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 8c | 11,220$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.35 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed No | 13c | 11,036$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.18 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 80c | 11,027$8,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.5 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc09…f3afbacked No | 24c | 10,963$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…8e58backed No | 24c | 10,796$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc93…3455backed Yes | 36c | 10,789$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,941.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked No | 30c | 10,657$3,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…78eabacked No | 10c | 10,490$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53df…8a2cbacked No | 9c | 10,441$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e2…f6a9backed No | 74c | 10,372$7,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,721.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…97b8backed Yes | 77c | 10,355$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…6c3fbacked No | 22c | 10,240$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed No | 10c | 10,023$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.53 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d37…b317backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…570fbacked Yes | 60c | 9,999$5,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c94…663bbacked No | 7c | 9,942$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 40c | 9,705$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,835.67 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…c5e5backed No | 20c | 9,671$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…08e5backed No | 80c | 9,645$7,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,680.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 26c | 9,630$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.05 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…d1b7backed No | 32c | 9,557$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.51 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba6…c060backed Yes | 68c | 9,469$6,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 30c | 8,420$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.36 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -79%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 0c | 8,342$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…5dedbacked No | 21c | 8,317$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af5…3569backed No | 7c | 8,216$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 20c | 8,190$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.69 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…7ad3backed No | 29c | 7,953$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…28b6backed No | 16c | 7,913$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.54 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…e209backed Yes | 61c | 7,910$4,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,056.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…529cbacked No | 23c | 7,755$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0b…16e4backed No | 9c | 7,740$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bd…4012backed No | 35c | 7,693$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebd…58ffbacked No | 16c | 7,600$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…68abbacked No | 14c | 7,530$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2625…b2f8backed No | 13c | 7,510$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…9af1backed Yes | 61c | 7,471$4,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 36c | 7,232$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,596.28 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…d472backed Yes | 78c | 7,059$5,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d2…26abbacked No | 12c | 7,055$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ff…8c7cbacked Yes | 73c | 6,868$5,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed No | 27c | 6,819$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.