NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ac043bb04b3be0cb2d09293c6b789fdae636f6cd730e7e4c84eac95947326ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Bucks, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $826,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $762,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $826,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Bucks | 16c | 126,072$20,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,171.45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Bucks | 15c | 75,253$11,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,288.02 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 15c | 71,574$10,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,739.62 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Bucks | 15c | 39,000$5,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,904.97 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Bucks | 15c | 32,211$4,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,709.18 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks | 15c | 28,319$4,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360.92 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Bucks | 16c | 27,500$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Bucks | 15c | 25,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.99 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Bucks | 15c | 15,010$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.48 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…8833backed Bucks | 11c | 11,000$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.27 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Bucks | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 15c | 9,322$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.69 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 16c | 7,482$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.85 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks | 14c | 7,357$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.88 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eda…c3b7backed Bucks | 15c | 7,331$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…5d29backed Bucks | 15c | 7,063$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.39 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bucks | 15c | 6,527$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.01 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Bucks | 16c | 5,709$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.33 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bucks | 8c | 5,450$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.1 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Bucks | 15c | 5,030$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.54 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks | 6c | 5,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.08 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Bucks | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Bucks | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed Bucks | 15c | 4,547$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Bucks | 19c | 4,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.99 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks | 0c | 3,956$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ac…ee5fbacked Bucks | 15c | 3,950$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks | 15c | 3,847$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.03 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d2…4bcebacked Bucks | 7c | 3,632$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Bucks | 15c | 3,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Bucks | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 328 | 27.4%90 W · 238 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Bucks | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Bucks | 15c | 2,800$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d3…cc60backed Bucks | 12c | 2,700$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Bucks | 7c | 2,659$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Bucks | 1c | 2,600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Bucks | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Bucks | 24c | 2,450$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…2d80backed Bucks | 16c | 2,084$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Bucks | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79aa…92cbbacked Bucks | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…4cd8backed Bucks | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Bucks | 1c | 2,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Pistons | 79c | 1,828$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.85 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Bucks | 16c | 1,720$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.2 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…7ac0backed Bucks | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa02…d9ebbacked Bucks | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…1011backed Bucks | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Bucks | 17c | 1,500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Bucks | 23c | 1,394$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.54 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pistons | 78c | 1,275$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.87 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Bucks | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…c654backed Bucks | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Bucks | 22c | 1,217$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.17 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeec…961cbacked Bucks | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…7addbacked Bucks | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Bucks | 15c | 1,184$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.61 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bucks | 14c | 1,111$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Bucks | 16c | 1,056$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bucks | 14c | 1,002$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.02 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bucks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…e021backed Bucks | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb800…e43abacked Bucks | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a9…cb8bbacked Bucks | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 34cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Bucks | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf571…3a5dbacked Bucks | 16c | 999.93$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…767cbacked Bucks | 23c | 971.09$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Bucks | 23c | 967.37$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bucks | 18c | 950.92$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.56 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed Bucks | 11c | 943.37$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.07 | 282 | 34.4%97 W · 185 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…0e79backed Bucks | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Bucks | 11c | 763.28$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Bucks | 20c | 726.44$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.38 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Bucks | 16c | 723.43$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85de…3717backed Bucks | 17c | 699.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a976backed Pistons | 80c | 677$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.4 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Bucks | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b4…cacabacked Bucks | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…ef35backed Bucks | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…2c4ebacked Bucks | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Bucks | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…43bcbacked Bucks | 10c | 591.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Bucks | 16c | 589.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…55c8backed Bucks | 12c | 575.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 22cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f16…5327backed Bucks | 15c | 553.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41db…1536backed Bucks | 15c | 533.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bucks | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a6…0b99backed Bucks | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc7…186fbacked Bucks | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fadabacked Bucks | 15c | 446.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Bucks | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…7b7ebacked Bucks | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Bucks | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdc…9f26backed Bucks | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…5420backed Bucks | 10c | 385.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe34…e166backed Bucks | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 521 | 37.2%194 W · 327 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…8b3abacked Pistons | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucks | 15c | 373.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0999…016ebacked Bucks | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb714…4b06backed Bucks | 20c | 352.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Pistonsthis page
- Bucks vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.