NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x112e9090fb64ecdb26ef1e1bf00cc123c94a9837d04c1db081fbc0d9e3e96f9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Pistons, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pistons | 51c | 80,000$40,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,800 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bucks | 49c | 46,216$22,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,570.1 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bucks | 49c | 22,059$10,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,249.97 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Pistons | 1c | 11,945$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.45 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pistons | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe971…350cbacked Pistons | 51c | 8,300$4,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,233 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5442…6fa7backed Bucks | 49c | 8,300$4,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,233 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Bucks | 49c | 8,108$3,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,135.17 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 49c | 7,734$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,961.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…a8eebacked Bucks | 51c | 7,700$3,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,773 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…ce21backed Pistons | 49c | 7,700$3,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,773 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…efecbacked Pistons | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Pistons | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks | 49c | 3,854$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.27 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Bucks | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Pistons | 4c | 1,953$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Bucks | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 44c | 1,745$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.48 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…4a7fbacked Pistons | 2c | 1,660$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pistons | 49c | 1,478$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.97 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…09f7backed Bucks | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.59 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bucks | 49c | 1,261$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.11 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ff…1df7backed Bucks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Bucks | 53c | 950.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.18 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Bucks | 50c | 864$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Bucks | 50c | 862$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pistons | 51c | 804$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.72 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Bucks | 51c | 617.65$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.65 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons | 49c | 611.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Bucks | 37c | 608$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.08 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Pistons | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Pistons | 53c | 481.13$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Pistons | 50c | 397.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Bucks | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons | 33c | 247.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Pistons | 51c | 244$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Pistons | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Bucks | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pistons | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Pistons | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bucks | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Pistons | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Pistons | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pistons | 52c | 192.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…75c9backed Pistons | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Bucks | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Pistons | 51c | 133.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Bucks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Bucks | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Bucks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pistons | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pistons | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Pistons | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…5e83backed Bucks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Pistons | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Pistons | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Bucks | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 50c | 84.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Bucks | 51c | 80.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Pistons | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Bucks | 51c | 75.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Bucks | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Bucks | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Bucks | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Bucks | 50c | 63.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Bucks | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Bucks | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…4f66backed Pistons | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bucks | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Bucks | 48c | 49.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…cc0fbacked Pistons | 52c | 49.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Bucks | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Bucks | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Bucks | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Bucks | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Bucks | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Bucks | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x075a…8d34backed Bucks | 54c | 46.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Bucks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Bucks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…b5a2backed Bucks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Bucks | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Bucks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf7…6441backed Bucks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Bucks | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Pistons | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Pistons | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…a54abacked Pistons | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5899…032dbacked Bucks | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)this page
- Bucks vs. PistonsPistons won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.