NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4071e1febfeb6e3901ea048c85ee00b3a34a5db92fde7f5df57737c1c1a81887
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Under | 50c | 52,177$26,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,017.24 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 50c | 14,599$7,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,299.27 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 58c | 12,064$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,064.25 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 8,776$4,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,388.16 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 47c | 7,779$3,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.34 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 5,906$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.89 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Over | 52c | 5,200$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 51c | 5,200$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Over | 54c | 4,600$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.39 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 49c | 4,444$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.67 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.98 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 41c | 2,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 1,839$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.22 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 1,673$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 1,387$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.41 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…e302backed Under | 49c | 1,382$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 54c | 1,224$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.07 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Under | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 53c | 750$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 633.38$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.81 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 48c | 612$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.6 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 49c | 606.69$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.28 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…1ae1backed Over | 51c | 600$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 230 | 43%99 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 48c | 512.5$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Under | 47c | 501.23$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.59 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 463$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.87 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 78c | 374$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Over | 52c | 354.27$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.05 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 55c | 330.8$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.46 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 50c | 285.46$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.35 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Over | 54c | 225$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Over | 53c | 219.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…b13abacked Under | 47c | 214.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 51c | 206.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.18 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 54c | 205.56$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 192$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 180$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 30c | 168$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 52c | 165.38$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc4…b756backed Over | 56c | 147.55$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 127.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Over | 54c | 110.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 54c | 108.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb2…3bb5backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…daddbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Over | 54c | 94.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2e…6200backed Under | 47c | 90.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…6404backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 531 | 41.8%222 W · 309 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0622backed Over | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Over | 52c | 79.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aba…7d56backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc08d…6a83backed Under | 49c | 63.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebac…be55backed Over | 54c | 57.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 52.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 46c | 42.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…0111backed Over | 53c | 39.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 50c | 38.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…3d3abacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…7c6cbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfac…75debacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…ba2ebacked Under | 46c | 32.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 54c | 30.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 54c | 30.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a7…3ec1backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…c444backed Over | 53c | 25.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 53c | 20.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5this page
- Bucks vs. PistonsPistons won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.