College Football · resolved market
Eastern Michigan vs. Ball State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5afc272a5c2b9d6c9cc3806ead3881a53acab988903a2cbdc66f40c0793a61db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eastern Michiganof Eastern Michigan, Ball State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $339,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Eastern Michigan | 56c | 37,819$21,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,640.36 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Ball State | 44c | 35,000$15,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,399.92 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Ball State | 44c | 34,000$14,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,960 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3d…35d0backed Eastern Michigan | 57c | 27,837$15,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,900.51 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Eastern Michigan | 76c | 23,924$18,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,783.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Eastern Michigan | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Ball State | 44c | 18,667$8,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,126.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Ball State | 44c | 18,000$7,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,920 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Eastern Michigan | 56c | 15,651$8,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,886.44 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Eastern Michigan | 56c | 11,799$6,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,132.67 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x888c…e9ecbacked Ball State | 4c | 11,500$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Ball State | 44c | 8,914$3,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,923.02 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Eastern Michigan | 56c | 8,530$4,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,753.2 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ball State | 42c | 8,272$3,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,474.42 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Eastern Michigan | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Eastern Michigan | 56c | 6,947$3,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,056.89 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Ball State | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Ball State | 0c | 6,456$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Ball State | 37c | 5,218$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.39 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Eastern Michigan | 56c | 3,750$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Ball State | 25c | 3,100$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Eastern Michigan | 68c | 2,877$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.63 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Ball State | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…443ebacked Ball State | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Ball State | 17c | 2,227$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.08 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Eastern Michigan | 56c | 2,174$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.42 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Eastern Michigan | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Ball State | 2c | 1,910$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Eastern Michigan | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.8 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Ball State | 42c | 1,680$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.42 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ball State | 43c | 1,562$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.62 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ball State | 43c | 1,537$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.7 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Ball State | 44c | 1,363$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Ball State | 42c | 1,250$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.58 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Ball State | 45c | 1,180$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.4 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a63…d3d4backed Ball State | 43c | 1,116$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Eastern Michigan | 56c | 1,113$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.7 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Ball State | 2c | 1,013$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8074…b7fdbacked Eastern Michigan | 55c | 1,007$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Ball State | 45c | 1,000$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b3cabacked Eastern Michigan | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Eastern Michigan | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9f…f8d7backed Eastern Michigan | 55c | 937.54$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Eastern Michigan | 72c | 894.52$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.75 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Ball State | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c6…fa45backed Ball State | 43c | 828$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8663…61e2backed Ball State | 43c | 745.9$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Eastern Michigan | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Ball State | 20c | 682.22$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.44 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Ball State | 33c | 676.47$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Ball State | 43c | 555$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.65 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Ball State | 44c | 525$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ee…aa14backed Ball State | 43c | 514$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…e530backed Eastern Michigan | 57c | 510.53$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.53 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Ball State | 44c | 509.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Ball State | 22c | 500$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Ball State | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd695…0b02backed Eastern Michigan | 56c | 461.47$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3921…1b49backed Ball State | 45c | 458.31$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…a807backed Ball State | 5c | 458.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ball State | 42c | 457.82$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.28 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Ball State | 43c | 456.12$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.24 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Ball State | 42c | 348.93$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.28 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Ball State | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Ball State | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Eastern Michigan | 56c | 299.95$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d5…d2e0backed Ball State | 45c | 270$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Eastern Michigan | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3427…005dbacked Ball State | 45c | 265.8$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Ball State | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Ball State | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…3d4dbacked Eastern Michigan | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14f…3f6dbacked Eastern Michigan | 56c | 230$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…08eabacked Eastern Michigan | 56c | 220$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4101…f123backed Ball State | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…e553backed Ball State | 45c | 210$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Ball State | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Ball State | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Ball State | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…ba79backed Eastern Michigan | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43b…a63abacked Ball State | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Eastern Michigan | 56c | 190$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…1c90backed Ball State | 45c | 189.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fab…8640backed Eastern Michigan | 56c | 188$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Ball State | 43c | 179$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Ball State | 9c | 160$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Ball State | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Ball State | 44c | 145.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Eastern Michigan | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a94…ed73backed Ball State | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Ball State | 43c | 132.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Eastern Michigan | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed Eastern Michigan | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed Ball State | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Ball State | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…ec5ebacked Eastern Michigan | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a9…e6eebacked Eastern Michigan | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ball State | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Eastern Michigan | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Ball State | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eastern Michigan vs. Ball Statethis page
- Eastern Michigan vs. Ball State: O/U 48.5Under won
- Eastern Michigan vs. Ball State: O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: Eastern Michigan (-2.5)Eastern Michigan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.