TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Joshuaof Paul, Joshua
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,406,740
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,534,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,406,740 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Paul12c4,082,661$499,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499,817.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d77…b72cbacked Paul12c169,616$20,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,512.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Paul13c162,600$21,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,364922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-67.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Paul13c88,152$11,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,655.87812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06fd…c0bebacked Paul13c58,926$7,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,660.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Paul10c31,086$3,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,108.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-44.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Paul14c30,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,200560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4fd…b118backed Paul15c25,000$3,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,785.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a60…211ebacked Paul13c10,652$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Paul13c9,179$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.661020%2 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1923…3b76backed Paul12c7,523$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.24955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed Paul11c7,082$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.02633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-57.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c98…a50fbacked Paul16c6,246$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa803…0b2fbacked Paul13c5,361$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Paul13c4,998$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+171.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4113…9514backed Paul15c4,889$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Paul14c4,886$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.47633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Paul11c4,800$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x590b…7fd6backed Paul1c4,200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x835f…d41abacked Paul12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb969…089ebacked Paul12c4,114$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Paul13c4,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…6dd0backed Paul12c3,339$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.6840%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x777e…eb8ebacked Paul15c3,296$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed Paul17c3,000$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Paul10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d41…23d9backed Paul14c2,950$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd1d…2190backed Paul15c2,800$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+111%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e89…0d6fbacked Paul15c2,800$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa099…d81fbacked Paul16c2,500$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8fe…3ee3backed Paul13c2,500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee9…69a0backed Paul12c2,474$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+124.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d26…ecf2backed Paul15c2,288$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe103…59fdbacked Paul13c2,267$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Paul12c2,112$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.3250%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63b5…7ec8backed Paul16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f5…be7bbacked Paul13c1,800$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Paul13c1,749$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc92d…2339backed Paul16c1,681$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ef…be38backed Paul10c1,500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.140%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c97…4569backed Paul13c1,500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x94fd…e0b9backed Paul17c1,459$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x660a…626ebacked Paul12c1,425$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf9cf…a0d0backed Paul13c1,348$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Paul13c1,299$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.591931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e59…1c46backed Paul16c1,285$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…0800backed Joshua80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Paul12c1,250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick27cpaid+148.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x701c…6e40backed Paul13c1,170$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c5…1829backed Joshua80c1,160$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b8b…2183backed Paul16c1,088$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5af9…1f82backed Paul15c1,051$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Paul9c1,000$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-61.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf537…e162backed Paul13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Paul12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x79c5…dfd4backed Paul12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbeb3…c65dbacked Paul13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf9aa…bb40backed Paul13c923.08$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2c…e158backed Paul14c919.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff1…f463backed Paul11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30aa…2bddbacked Paul12c900$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10840%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabd9…fce2backed Paul11c899.18$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked Paul16c870$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.240%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x974f…78f7backed Paul12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73b8…f6b5backed Joshua80c830.81$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x942a…1d48backed Paul12c825$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9df3…002ebacked Paul15c825$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5cf…9fc6backed Paul11c810$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.150%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc361…38babacked Paul13c807.69$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea7…79acbacked Joshua79c800$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1546…b16cbacked Paul13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Paul13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-68.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ee5…dd9fbacked Paul13c769$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c22…0b55backed Paul13c761.54$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9930%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47cc…5668backed Paul14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…fd3fbacked Paul17c705.88$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Paul13c687.41$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.42475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaddb…51adbacked Paul15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae4…8298backed Paul15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a5…8755backed Paul16c630$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Paul16c630$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b4f…a442backed Paul16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cbb…2587backed Paul16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…b3f6backed Paul12c600$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Paul7c600$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e5…791bbacked Paul12c586.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d3…586bbacked Paul11c522.18$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc1…341cbacked Paul2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Paul2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x553a…177fbacked Paul13c499.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Paul10c499.93$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.991625%4 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-51.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b36…52a2backed Paul15c495.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5479…a28bbacked Paul14c479.26$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Paul16c478.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x989b…98b8backed Paul16c475$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Paul12c473$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.791323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf245…1df4backed Paul12c465.64$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.68714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-68.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3c0…4bf8backed Paul13c461.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-50.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373f…1878backed Paul15c459.09$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d93…2e14backed Paul11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.