Boxing · resolved market
Who will win Anderson Silva vs Tyron Woodley?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0a86894d98426452680b44693a12ddfa13724af6b80155671b094d4e26e11bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Silvaof Silva, Woodley
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Woodley | 2c | 1,600$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 4cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Silva | 69c | 1,138$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Silva | 62c | 1,077$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.39 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…12e6backed Woodley | 31c | 523.9$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Woodley | 37c | 498$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.75 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…bb40backed Silva | 63c | 444.92$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Silva | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Silva | 68c | 399.98$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4dc…2d07backed Woodley | 25c | 357.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…4487backed Woodley | 32c | 315.47$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…e169backed Woodley | 31c | 287.1$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb521…0bd9backed Woodley | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25c…6430backed Woodley | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Silva | 66c | 250$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6742…97d5backed Woodley | 38c | 244$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Woodley | 15c | 222$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked Woodley | 32c | 196.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Woodley | 32c | 196.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Woodley | 31c | 189$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Silva | 58c | 179.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Silva | 67c | 155.26$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…6007backed Silva | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Silva | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Woodley | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…cd00backed Woodley | 45c | 111.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9c…ad87backed Woodley | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f9…a5debacked Silva | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Silva | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9295…a5f9backed Woodley | 50c | 80.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2169…612cbacked Woodley | 38c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Woodley | 32c | 75.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cf…d95abacked Woodley | 37c | 73.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…1e16backed Woodley | 36c | 58.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc24…037ebacked Woodley | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4a…726fbacked Woodley | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Woodley | 32c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…9f4ebacked Woodley | 37c | 37.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…7badbacked Silva | 56c | 31.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ee…83a2backed Woodley | 40c | 30.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Silva | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…1363backed Silva | 70c | 23.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Who will win Anderson Silva vs Tyron Woodley?this page
- Who will win Alycia Baumgardner vs Leila Beaudoin?Baumgardner won
- Who will win Cherneka Johnson vs Amanda Galle?Johnson won
- Who will win Jahmal Harvey vs Kevin Cervantes?Harvey won
- Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?Joshua won
- Who will win Yokasta Valle vs Yadira Bustillos?Valle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.