Boxing · resolved market
Who will win Alycia Baumgardner vs Leila Beaudoin?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1195be51b14f9a9a6dee076c4de746afa636d2d0cdf0fd84de987ad60be0ba88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baumgardnerof Baumgardner, Beaudoin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb100…6461backed Beaudoin | 17c | 5,161$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.81 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed Baumgardner | 78c | 3,165$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Beaudoin | 19c | 2,525$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.61 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Beaudoin | 21c | 2,364$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…bb40backed Beaudoin | 10c | 1,317$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Beaudoin | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535e…3295backed Beaudoin | 3c | 966.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9664…2d69backed Beaudoin | 8c | 827.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Beaudoin | 19c | 730.95$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…78f7backed Beaudoin | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked Beaudoin | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Beaudoin | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Beaudoin | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…15bfbacked Beaudoin | 33c | 461.11$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb521…0bd9backed Beaudoin | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…1e17backed Beaudoin | 23c | 430.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Beaudoin | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 22cpaid | +200.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c3…3800backed Beaudoin | 13c | 329.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5614…55b1backed Beaudoin | 18c | 298.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…19bbbacked Beaudoin | 18c | 296.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9918…8756backed Beaudoin | 4c | 291.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…dda1backed Beaudoin | 14c | 275$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -80%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…84e3backed Beaudoin | 4c | 254.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…407fbacked Beaudoin | 20c | 250.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ace…0a0abacked Beaudoin | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Beaudoin | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa732…1760backed Beaudoin | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4a…726fbacked Beaudoin | 16c | 243.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d34…9858backed Beaudoin | 14c | 228.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Beaudoin | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…4487backed Beaudoin | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc24…037ebacked Beaudoin | 14c | 215.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a1…9a8abacked Beaudoin | 17c | 211.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Beaudoin | 12c | 209.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…86b1backed Beaudoin | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Beaudoin | 10c | 181.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964f…ca58backed Beaudoin | 16c | 181.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f9…a5debacked Beaudoin | 10c | 175$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Baumgardner | 78c | 140.61$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd8…39b1backed Beaudoin | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Baumgardner | 64c | 133.51$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…e452backed Beaudoin | 19c | 124.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9e…2949backed Beaudoin | 22c | 122.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…55acbacked Beaudoin | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…9730backed Beaudoin | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Beaudoin | 14c | 105.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…c828backed Beaudoin | 20c | 104.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Baumgardner | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed Baumgardner | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…d0afbacked Beaudoin | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d74fbacked Beaudoin | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…8b69backed Beaudoin | 23c | 87.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Baumgardner | 76c | 84.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…7986backed Beaudoin | 14c | 84.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…de46backed Beaudoin | 17c | 71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…fc22backed Baumgardner | 71c | 69.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed Beaudoin | 22c | 61.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1592…a305backed Beaudoin | 29c | 52.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Who will win Alycia Baumgardner vs Leila Beaudoin?this page
- Who will win Anderson Silva vs Tyron Woodley?Silva won
- Who will win Cherneka Johnson vs Amanda Galle?Johnson won
- Who will win Jahmal Harvey vs Kevin Cervantes?Harvey won
- Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?Joshua won
- Who will win Yokasta Valle vs Yadira Bustillos?Valle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.