TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Magic: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,131
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,222

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,131 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaaef…a883backed Under52c7,095$3,687 inWon+$3,408.05875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+56.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c5,999$2,906 inLost-$2,9069,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost-$2,45047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Under51c4,000$2,040 inWon+$1,96034645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under51c3,615$1,843 inWon+$1,7721,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Over49c3,500$1,715 inLost-$1,71518047.8%86 W · 94 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5d…7253backed Over44c2,690$1,184 inLost-$1,183.6811242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Under56c2,500$1,400 inWon+$1,10028850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8265…e0eebacked Over48c2,105$1,000 inLost-$1,0001540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon+$98029652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under51c1,622$827 inWon+$794.9258951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bd…270cbacked Over45c1,111$500 inLost-$499.9512452.4%65 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a3…4ebebacked Under52c1,000$520 inWon+$4804254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4d…6055backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost-$48020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under55c955$525 inWon+$429.751,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over45c386.22$174 inLost-$173.82,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Over48c350$168 inLost-$16825039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c274$140 inWon+$134.266,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c250$128 inWon+$122.54,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c204.59$100 inLost-$100.254,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c200$102 inWon+$985,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd58b…48e8backed Over49c200$98 inLost-$986358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under56c169.64$95 inWon+$74.6466046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Under52c162.22$84 inWon+$78.418053.3%96 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Over47c150$71 inLost-$70.554951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Over49c110$54 inLost-$53.911951.3%61 W · 58 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f91…7c76backed Over45c66.67$30 inLost-$309852%51 W · 47 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfeee…a4a9backed Over50c50$25 inLost-$256360.3%38 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Under51c27.86$14 inWon+$13.6520356.7%115 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over46c24$11 inLost-$11.142,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.