TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Vancouver: Hayato Matsuoka vs J.J. Wolf

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
J.J. Wolfof Hayato Matsuoka, J.J. Wolf
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,697 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32b4…8b21backed Hayato Matsuoka36c14,176$5,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,126.823,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked J.J. Wolf66c6,243$4,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.2411,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed J.J. Wolf69c4,210$2,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.713,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hayato Matsuoka31c3,250$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.368,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Hayato Matsuoka50c3,051$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.4153942.1%227 W · 312 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed J.J. Wolf48c2,380$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.931,01336.5%370 W · 643 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed J.J. Wolf61c1,952$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.988,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed J.J. Wolf65c1,821$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.035,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Hayato Matsuoka60c1,668$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99862956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed J.J. Wolf72c1,428$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.84,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed J.J. Wolf55c1,181$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.172,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed J.J. Wolf58c1,146$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.452,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Hayato Matsuoka52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013450%67 W · 67 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed J.J. Wolf73c890.9$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.582,02546.9%950 W · 1,075 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed J.J. Wolf57c751.32$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.568,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf188…4a83backed Hayato Matsuoka8c744.44$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6212423.4%29 W · 95 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x379f…7d70backed J.J. Wolf68c730$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.619556.9%111 W · 84 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Hayato Matsuoka29c725.65$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.062,69647.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L+46.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed J.J. Wolf49c685.57$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.9314738.1%56 W · 91 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked J.J. Wolf66c475.45$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.894,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Hayato Matsuoka62c467.5$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28929443.5%128 W · 166 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed J.J. Wolf43c467.28$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.8630525.9%79 W · 226 L-28.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Hayato Matsuoka58c457.71$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.5141645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Hayato Matsuoka9c383.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.44,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5f…f7aebacked Hayato Matsuoka33c331.81$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7e0…8573backed Hayato Matsuoka34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8969…2a77backed J.J. Wolf68c276.31$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.426976.8%53 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed J.J. Wolf58c268.88$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8884468.5%578 W · 266 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked J.J. Wolf71c268$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.191,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed J.J. Wolf60c264.09$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.152,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed J.J. Wolf50c248.72$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2230830.8%95 W · 213 L+1.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Hayato Matsuoka14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1480153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked J.J. Wolf77c194.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.82,05659.5%1,224 W · 832 L-0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f4…df56backed J.J. Wolf69c194.5$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed J.J. Wolf40c192.03$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2241544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4438…f659backed Hayato Matsuoka28c181.82$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.422441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed J.J. Wolf56c178.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.41,00154.9%550 W · 451 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Hayato Matsuoka57c173.74$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0350268.3%343 W · 159 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Hayato Matsuoka41c173.38$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8332329.7%96 W · 227 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Hayato Matsuoka24c168.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0936538.4%140 W · 225 L+16.4wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b7…fcf0backed J.J. Wolf31c156.06$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+118.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed J.J. Wolf76c147.37$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3721856.4%123 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Hayato Matsuoka58c130.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4853044.9%238 W · 292 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed J.J. Wolf68c129.42$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7733165%215 W · 116 L+22.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Hayato Matsuoka23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,89548.1%911 W · 984 L+15.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74fd…7537backed J.J. Wolf77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Hayato Matsuoka29c98.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3242546.4%197 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked J.J. Wolf62c98.58$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.731,62454.4%883 W · 741 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Hayato Matsuoka52c93.85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.61,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked J.J. Wolf70c91.41$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.771,65744.2%733 W · 924 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Hayato Matsuoka43c89.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.651,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked J.J. Wolf71c83.17$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1263447.9%304 W · 330 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hayato Matsuoka23c81.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.72,39438.4%920 W · 1,474 L+87.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed J.J. Wolf48c78$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9555941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Hayato Matsuoka51c76.19$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.196,41946.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked J.J. Wolf76c71.95$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.273,18748.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L-46.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Hayato Matsuoka27c67.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1948152%250 W · 231 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Hayato Matsuoka26c61.93$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.285741.7%357 W · 500 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked J.J. Wolf58c61.9$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.051,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed J.J. Wolf56c59.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1176355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03dd…49c8backed J.J. Wolf43c52.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8746151.6%238 W · 223 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe022…7d0fbacked Hayato Matsuoka48c51.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516833.9%57 W · 111 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Hayato Matsuoka23c51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9333350.2%167 W · 166 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd1d…6f23backed J.J. Wolf65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.152751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked J.J. Wolf73c46.04$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3417748%85 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed J.J. Wolf74c45.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5539648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed J.J. Wolf58c45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.794,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Hayato Matsuoka44c44.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.936146.3%167 W · 194 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b4e…150cbacked Hayato Matsuoka36c44.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.011435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Hayato Matsuoka44c43.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1166347.1%312 W · 351 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked J.J. Wolf72c43.56$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.081,76446.8%826 W · 938 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked J.J. Wolf59c41.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2537959.1%224 W · 155 L+26.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked J.J. Wolf51c41.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1938257.6%220 W · 162 L+19.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe01…b45dbacked J.J. Wolf77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.222377.6%173 W · 50 L+0.6wins0.00per pick77cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f20…5d31backed J.J. Wolf56c38.27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7810052%52 W · 48 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00e8…0039backed Hayato Matsuoka60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209715.5%15 W · 82 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked J.J. Wolf38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.622230.6%68 W · 154 L-25.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb11a…a5d9backed J.J. Wolf47c29.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9512748.8%62 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa56d…3053backed J.J. Wolf69c29.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0621765.9%143 W · 74 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6f3…b3eebacked Hayato Matsuoka56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.43per pick56cpaid-76.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x97a7…ac24backed Hayato Matsuoka40c26.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed J.J. Wolf76c26.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3720470.6%144 W · 60 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b8…851ebacked J.J. Wolf48c25.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ee7…8868backed J.J. Wolf74c20.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.31933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed J.J. Wolf50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1035258.2%205 W · 147 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked J.J. Wolf75c19.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9317147.4%81 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5a…724cbacked J.J. Wolf76c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7414761.2%90 W · 57 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x775e…e94abacked J.J. Wolf77c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.145054%27 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.