TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Winthrop Universityof Conviction, Winthrop University
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,914

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,239 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6918…782bbacked Conviction79c15,874$12,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,551.131,52254.7%832 W · 690 L+37.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Conviction40c4,870$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.851,42838.4%548 W · 880 L-42.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Conviction51c4,089$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.3427957.7%161 W · 118 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Winthrop University61c3,928$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.0517538.9%68 W · 107 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Winthrop University20c3,055$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.9244938.1%171 W · 278 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb2…5c04backed Conviction1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302522%5 W · 247 L+0.4wins0.00per pick2cpaid-93.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Winthrop University19c2,897$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.8656034.8%195 W · 365 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Winthrop University32c2,436$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.011,85239.8%738 W · 1,114 L-64.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13f…5e0bbacked Winthrop University41c2,280$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Winthrop University19c2,169$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.981,05650.4%532 W · 524 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Conviction50c2,132$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.876139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Conviction79c2,127$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.141,50250.3%756 W · 746 L+71.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Winthrop University20c2,100$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68013639.7%54 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Winthrop University45c2,046$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.032,02030.5%617 W · 1,403 L-172.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Winthrop University60c1,792$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.681,09147.4%517 W · 574 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a86…4998backed Winthrop University32c1,716$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.0218629.6%55 W · 131 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Winthrop University51c1,598$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.254351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Conviction59c1,575$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.251,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Winthrop University63c1,527$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.9988949.6%441 W · 448 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Winthrop University46c1,500$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.241,14338.8%444 W · 699 L-46.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90e7…ac8ebacked Winthrop University18c1,481$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.2915042.7%64 W · 86 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+13.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x23d1…52c5backed Winthrop University20c1,371$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.124645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Winthrop University60c1,368$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.521,08546.2%501 W · 584 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Winthrop University36c1,322$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.1435835.5%127 W · 231 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Conviction80c1,121$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.820059%118 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked Winthrop University20c1,100$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88010834.3%37 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Winthrop University62c1,080$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.3297744.8%438 W · 539 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Winthrop University46c1,070$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.962,36440.7%963 W · 1,401 L-57.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Winthrop University16c1,053$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.811,32038.6%510 W · 810 L-66.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Winthrop University61c1,048$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.072,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…13dabacked Winthrop University18c1,014$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.985839.7%23 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed Winthrop University18c1,007$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.777847.4%37 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Conviction73c1,000$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.782,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Conviction80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80090350.8%459 W · 444 L+17.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef88…d62cbacked Winthrop University22c1,000$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7802055%11 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed Conviction52c974.68$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.2619748.2%95 W · 102 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Winthrop University19c913.62$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.031,39944.9%628 W · 771 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Winthrop University20c900$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72038931.9%124 W · 265 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc69c…6797backed Winthrop University20c897$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Conviction54c837.37$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.661,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Winthrop University30c813.55$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.22,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Conviction38c733.21$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.872,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x056b…303ebacked Winthrop University72c698.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.41241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9473…cba4backed Conviction24c676.31$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.1755045.3%249 W · 301 L-0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b7…fcf0backed Winthrop University20c644.5$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Winthrop University20c588$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.419835.4%70 W · 128 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Winthrop University64c544.46$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.112,33039.4%919 W · 1,411 L-83.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20b8…0b16backed Conviction24c531.77$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.865749.1%28 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Winthrop University18c516.53$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.5524836.7%91 W · 157 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked Winthrop University56c509.34$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.484447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bfb…8beabacked Winthrop University24c505.15$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.915246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde41…58bdbacked Winthrop University24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3804665.2%30 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Winthrop University24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3807142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Winthrop University18c499.94$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.9535742.9%153 W · 204 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Winthrop University69c474.69$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.450041.6%208 W · 292 L-15.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Winthrop University68c462.54$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.3820748.3%100 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Winthrop University63c443$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.0357349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Winthrop University20c411.8$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.4424434.4%84 W · 160 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Conviction2c406.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0823636.4%86 W · 150 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked Winthrop University20c400$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32019835.4%70 W · 128 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed Winthrop University21c399.04$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.6423946%110 W · 129 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ac…9722backed Conviction51c376.49$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.019944.4%44 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked Winthrop University18c376.11$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.9613628.7%39 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a22…5c62backed Winthrop University19c375$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.75825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Winthrop University58c363.37$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.511,00454.5%547 W · 457 L+49.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Winthrop University48c355.4$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.815246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Winthrop University73c351.2$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.221,38431.3%433 W · 951 L-133.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed Winthrop University18c329.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.846434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Conviction56c307.58$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.446251.6%32 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Conviction62c301.42$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.8819150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Winthrop University18c300$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24674949.7%372 W · 377 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Conviction37c291.53$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.61,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Winthrop University20c278.5$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.818648.9%91 W · 95 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Winthrop University20c278.5$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.845445.4%206 W · 248 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Conviction39c261.27$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6982836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdde…0b07backed Conviction8c240$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick9cpaid+30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Winthrop University17c239.83$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.7974637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Conviction51c223.53$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11439244.9%176 W · 216 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Winthrop University20c212.75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.252741.2%217 W · 310 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Winthrop University49c204.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9635545.4%161 W · 194 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Conviction71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Winthrop University38c197.7$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.019748.5%47 W · 50 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d3a…d782backed Winthrop University49c197.55$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.972277.3%17 W · 5 L+5.8wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+62.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2888…f1a4backed Winthrop University20c197.01$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3854932.4%178 W · 371 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Winthrop University19c193.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1331838.1%121 W · 197 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Conviction68c193.93$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.115349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Conviction8c191.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.351,34847.3%637 W · 711 L-33.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Conviction15c184.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.861,93135.9%693 W · 1,238 L-98.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Winthrop University20c183.95$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.1654829.6%162 W · 386 L-36.3wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Winthrop University49c183.67$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1938756.6%219 W · 168 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed Conviction8c181.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523243.5%101 W · 131 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Winthrop University57c177.46$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.951,91237.1%709 W · 1,203 L-115.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Winthrop University44c171.36$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.491,24439.7%494 W · 750 L-69.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Conviction52c170$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8646762.3%291 W · 176 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Winthrop University42c170$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0812430.6%38 W · 86 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc1e…3b56backed Conviction8c170$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Conviction56c160$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.68267.1%55 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Winthrop University19c157.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8936446.4%169 W · 195 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Conviction63c155.02$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2966845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x392a…a334backed Conviction70c143.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.012352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.