Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Winthrop University (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f7b54237fde9304cf98a56cac5c2a09ff3079f99fb73f525ef7d44c11ad589a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Winthrop Universityof Conviction, Winthrop University
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Conviction | 59c | 3,870$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.85 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…c6d9backed Conviction | 54c | 1,586$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.46 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Winthrop University | 46c | 1,431$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.46 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Winthrop University | 42c | 1,243$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Winthrop University | 44c | 1,155$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.52 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Winthrop University | 40c | 742.2$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.5 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed Winthrop University | 37c | 610$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.3 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Winthrop University | 47c | 607.5$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.02 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Winthrop University | 40c | 539.08$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.35 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Conviction | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Winthrop University | 41c | 459.58$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.28 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Conviction | 50c | 455.83$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.92 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Winthrop University | 47c | 442.26$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…8b50backed Conviction | 54c | 442.08$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.58 | 448 | 50.7%227 W · 221 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Winthrop University | 49c | 422.6$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.52 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Conviction | 54c | 375.24$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.68 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6272…b853backed Conviction | 53c | 365.5$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.35 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Winthrop University | 40c | 300$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Conviction | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Winthrop University | 41c | 223.92$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.45 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked Conviction | 67c | 223.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 245 | 54.3%133 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Conviction | 52c | 178$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Conviction | 55c | 174.55$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.67 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Winthrop University | 48c | 147.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 524 | 41%215 W · 309 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0d…fea7backed Conviction | 50c | 137.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Winthrop University | 49c | 127.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Winthrop University | 49c | 127.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Winthrop University | 61c | 115$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Winthrop University | 45c | 108.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Winthrop University | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed Conviction | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 392 | 51.3%201 W · 191 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Winthrop University | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Winthrop University | 41c | 79.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…7c1ebacked Winthrop University | 41c | 57.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Winthrop University | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Winthrop University | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7852…9ec7backed Conviction | 55c | 40.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Conviction | 55c | 38.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…ce31backed Winthrop University | 45c | 37.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Winthrop University | 45c | 31.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Conviction | 34c | 30.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Conviction | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Winthrop University | 44c | 26.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 385 | 55.1%212 W · 173 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…5b7cbacked Conviction | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…8cc4backed Winthrop University | 41c | 25.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 411 | 51.1%210 W · 201 L | +19.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Winthrop University | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Conviction | 53c | 22.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Conviction | 52c | 22.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Winthrop University (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageWinthrop University won
- LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University - Game 1 WinnerWinthrop University won
- LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University - Game 2 WinnerWinthrop University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.