TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6272…b853

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst Valorant at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Winthrop University (+1.5)backed Conviction · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.35
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.94
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: VfB eSports vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked VfB eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$95.73
LoL: G2 NORD vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+43%+$43.03
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+175.1%+$205.96
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+113.4%+$141.77
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$60
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-29.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$21.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.