MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5aced2f23f235d24fc2e22cfee38db7c7c02cf7cf14d05b8e9b9943471b132b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $521,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $536,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $521,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals | 61c | 101,109$61,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,176.84 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston Red Sox | 1c | 91,336$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.15 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 41,423$16,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,615.55 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 41,394$17,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,008.27 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…c909backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,600 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 19,783$7,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,762.28 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Boston Red Sox | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 16,898$8,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,005.92 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 15c | 14,860$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.17 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 13,409$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Boston Red Sox | 2c | 12,620$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.1 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Boston Red Sox | 0c | 11,774$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Boston Red Sox | 28c | 10,901$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 9,214$4,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,565.39 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 5c | 6,198$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.98 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Boston Red Sox | 38c | 6,096$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.4 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 5,187$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.57 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Boston Red Sox | 2c | 5,001$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 4,837$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.3 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 20c | 4,499$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.59 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 4,100$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.55 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 3,595$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.08 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 3,444$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.63 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Boston Red Sox | 27c | 3,213$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.42 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 3,136$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.18 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Boston Red Sox | 2c | 3,100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 2,893$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.18 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 2,841$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.9 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Boston Red Sox | 1c | 2,745$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 2,683$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.17 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 1c | 2,526$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 2,369$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.25 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 2,211$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.27 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Boston Red Sox | 1c | 1,934$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,599$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.5 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 22c | 1,595$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.86 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…53b0backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 1,516$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.86 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Boston Red Sox | 2c | 1,419$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,400$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Boston Red Sox | 2c | 1,293$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,150$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.72 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,100$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 1,048$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.21 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,034$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.66 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 999.94$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.97 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Boston Red Sox | 6c | 911.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Boston Red Sox | 2c | 800$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 787.08$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.67 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 705.77$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.54 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 659.25$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.77 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 571$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.47 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 555.04$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.53 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 532$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Boston Red Sox | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…a8efbacked Boston Red Sox | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 478.38$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.68 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 454.71$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.35 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 447.37$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 424.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.3 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 398.19$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.97 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Boston Red Sox | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b8…8712backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 383$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.33 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 370.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 349.91$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.95 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 348$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Boston Red Sox | 16c | 336.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 309 | 34.3%106 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Boston Red Sox | 35c | 332$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.46 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 325.58$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.58 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 319$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.03 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Washington Nationals | 63c | 297.65$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.48 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 284.15$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.58 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.73 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 257.46$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.94 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Boston Red Sox | 38c | 256$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Boston Red Sox | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 244.58$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.41 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Boston Red Sox | 27c | 223$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 212.7$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.24 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Boston Red Sox | 24c | 203$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 203$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 200.09$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 190$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 180$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.11 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 174.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 13.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.