MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31217f3c57241ea9562f250c799d6f3d394660cfe0f492ee8e9c87935591d295
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 51c | 203,921$104,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,921.25 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 49c | 82,412$40,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,381.9 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 49c | 74,690$36,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,647.88 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 19,763$9,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,487.22 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 49c | 18,778$9,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,201.22 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 55c | 15,291$8,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,924.62 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 50c | 10,608$5,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,285.83 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 49c | 8,712$4,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,268.88 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 49c | 6,691$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.77 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 5,093$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 49c | 5,078$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.22 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 52c | 3,811$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.82 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 3,507$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.65 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 3,226$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.59 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 2,527$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 49c | 1,750$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.5 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 1,695$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.61 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 42c | 1,235$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.28 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 49c | 1,151$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 959.68$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.24 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 51c | 889$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.98 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 49c | 858.59$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.85 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 756.41$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.07 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 34c | 691.8$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.29 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Under | 49c | 663.27$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Over | 66c | 640$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.6 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 48c | 620.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.75 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 49c | 603.67$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 49c | 587.08$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.41 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 49c | 560$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.47 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 50c | 502.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.2 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Over | 49c | 404$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.04 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…b2ddbacked Under | 48c | 310.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Under | 44c | 301.58$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.27 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 249.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.67 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 45c | 224$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 61c | 223.89$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.27 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Over | 52c | 207$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 44c | 206$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Under | 49c | 193.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.93 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 51c | 189.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 63c | 183$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.03 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 50c | 145.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 50c | 130.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Over | 49c | 128.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Over | 49c | 116.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Over | 48c | 111$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd2…87f8backed Under | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…5648backed Under | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Over | 49c | 101.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 51c | 101.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 49c | 87.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc28…ede2backed Under | 41c | 86.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 77c | 80.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Under | 51c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Over | 48c | 68.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Over | 49c | 68.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Over | 55c | 68.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 49c | 65.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 51c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 63c | 63.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Over | 73c | 63.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…fd82backed Under | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Over | 49c | 55.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 55c | 55.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Under | 49c | 49.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…cf89backed Under | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 43.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Over | 61c | 41.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 49c | 40.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 49c | 40.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Over | 50c | 35.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Over | 49c | 35.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea06…39acbacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…315cbacked Under | 49c | 30.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 47c | 29.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…8967backed Under | 49c | 28.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Under | 53c | 26.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 52c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…7210backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659a…dd33backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…fe71backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -9.0wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 61c | 24.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5this page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red SoxWashington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 13.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.