Lol · resolved market
LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b44b6d6ccaf3b0d25575eb085c1c1b42f0f125a54777be58765cc9269523318
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Winthrop Universityof Conviction, Winthrop University
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Winthrop University | 31c | 11,035$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,611.28 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Conviction | 65c | 7,884$5,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,149.35 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Conviction | 39c | 5,125$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.23 | 1,267 | 37.7%478 W · 789 L | +35.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Conviction | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Winthrop University | 23c | 2,487$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.23 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Winthrop University | 40c | 2,219$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.77 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Conviction | 68c | 1,981$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.78 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Winthrop University | 77c | 1,964$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.36 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Winthrop University | 67c | 1,924$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.89 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Winthrop University | 43c | 1,675$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.48 | 874 | 43.1%377 W · 497 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Conviction | 66c | 1,646$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.22 | 903 | 50.8%459 W · 444 L | +17.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Winthrop University | 32c | 1,582$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.89 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Conviction | 61c | 1,574$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.92 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Conviction | 58c | 1,550$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.31 | 1,056 | 50.4%532 W · 524 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Conviction | 69c | 1,304$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 594 | 59.1%351 W · 243 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Winthrop University | 50c | 1,223$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.92 | 889 | 49.6%441 W · 448 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Winthrop University | 32c | 1,190$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.81 | 1,143 | 38.8%444 W · 699 L | -46.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Winthrop University | 52c | 1,129$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.01 | 977 | 44.8%438 W · 539 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Conviction | 64c | 1,058$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.1 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Winthrop University | 51c | 1,005$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.82 | 1,091 | 47.4%517 W · 574 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Conviction | 34c | 1,000$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Conviction | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a59…68fbbacked Conviction | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Winthrop University | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Conviction | 33c | 955.09$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.29 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…0adcbacked Winthrop University | 44c | 941.36$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.27 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…0340backed Conviction | 71c | 855.33$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.4 | 357 | 58.5%209 W · 148 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Winthrop University | 47c | 792.59$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.17 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed Conviction | 67c | 747.47$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.88 | 356 | 54.8%195 W · 161 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Conviction | 69c | 688.65$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.17 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Winthrop University | 32c | 662.9$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.83 | 650 | 43.1%280 W · 370 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked Conviction | 69c | 651.3$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.4 | 364 | 58.8%214 W · 150 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Conviction | 68c | 650.24$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.16 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed Winthrop University | 35c | 625.54$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.19 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Conviction | 37c | 621.75$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.59 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Conviction | 5c | 589.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 1,520 | 3.3%50 W · 1,470 L | -54.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6d…795fbacked Conviction | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…5267backed Conviction | 14c | 567.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 161 | 71.4%115 W · 46 L | +15.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Conviction | 39c | 556.58$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.18 | 391 | 40.4%158 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Winthrop University | 32c | 548.32$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.89 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Conviction | 12c | 508.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 313 | 21.1%66 W · 247 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Conviction | 40c | 500$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Conviction | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Conviction | 13c | 497.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 657 | 25.9%170 W · 487 L | -93.4wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Conviction | 11c | 492.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 421 | 37.5%158 W · 263 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked Conviction | 77c | 473$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.21 | 348 | 58%202 W · 146 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Conviction | 14c | 470.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 198 | 30.8%61 W · 137 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Conviction | 4c | 463.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 236 | 36.4%86 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Conviction | 54c | 458.24$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.17 | 247 | 50.2%124 W · 123 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Conviction | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Conviction | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,675 | 59.3%993 W · 682 L | +96.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Conviction | 72c | 419.76$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.17 | 440 | 51.4%226 W · 214 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Conviction | 60c | 402.44$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.46 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Conviction | 35c | 398.8$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34f…1cfabacked Conviction | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Winthrop University | 29c | 339.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.39 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Conviction | 15c | 336.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Conviction | 21c | 333.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Winthrop University | 45c | 312.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.88 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Winthrop University | 67c | 302.18$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.3 | 389 | 50.9%198 W · 191 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Conviction | 59c | 284.39$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Winthrop University | 63c | 260$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 269 | 39%105 W · 164 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Winthrop University | 27c | 259.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.63 | 527 | 41.2%217 W · 310 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed Winthrop University | 74c | 254.02$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.32 | 122 | 41%50 W · 72 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Conviction | 75c | 250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 946 | 44.6%422 W · 524 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…9f99backed Winthrop University | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.71 | 307 | 44%135 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Winthrop University | 25c | 235$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.71 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Conviction | 45c | 228.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 550 | 45.3%249 W · 301 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Conviction | 64c | 222.18$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.19 | 885 | 44.3%392 W · 493 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Conviction | 49c | 216.84$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 1,085 | 46.2%501 W · 584 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked Winthrop University | 34c | 206.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.4 | 363 | 59%214 W · 149 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Conviction | 56c | 203.64$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 392 | 44.9%176 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Conviction | 23c | 202.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…9dc5backed Winthrop University | 60c | 200.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Conviction | 68c | 200$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.53 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…0ac2backed Winthrop University | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Conviction | 32c | 198.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Winthrop University | 47c | 184.28$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 1,912 | 37.1%709 W · 1,203 L | -115.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Conviction | 55c | 183.72$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.61 | 1,545 | 43.8%676 W · 869 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Conviction | 68c | 181.05$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.41 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Conviction | 68c | 181.04$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.45 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…7634backed Winthrop University | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…b713backed Conviction | 17c | 172.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Conviction | 21c | 166.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Conviction | 73c | 159.44$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.75 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Conviction | 22c | 156.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 255 | 40.4%103 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Conviction | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Conviction | 75c | 143.33$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 471 | 36.9%174 W · 297 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Winthrop University | 51c | 142$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 1,658 | 46.9%777 W · 881 L | -25.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Conviction | 71c | 126.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed Winthrop University | 22c | 123.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 443 | 55.5%246 W · 197 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Conviction | 11c | 120.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…a334backed Conviction | 68c | 117.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Conviction | 12c | 116.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cf…c8b9backed Winthrop University | 34c | 113$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.07 | 179 | 39.1%70 W · 109 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Winthrop University | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 242 | 40.9%99 W · 143 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Winthrop University | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 364 | 46.4%169 W · 195 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Conviction | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Winthrop University | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 124 | 30.6%38 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Conviction | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 1,456 | 13.2%192 W · 1,264 L | -111.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Winthrop University (+1.5)Winthrop University won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageWinthrop University won
- LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University - Game 1 WinnerWinthrop University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.