Lol · resolved market
LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4db6b13d3bac3a63ed1755b248b3f85c98c4a72f9cc15f24a77a82fbb8f403f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Winthrop Universityof Conviction, Winthrop University
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Conviction | 59c | 9,417$5,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,512.03 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Winthrop University | 29c | 7,552$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,344.1 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Conviction | 72c | 5,735$4,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,128.92 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Conviction | 67c | 5,607$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,783.54 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Conviction | 61c | 4,425$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.5 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a86…4998backed Conviction | 23c | 3,876$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 184 | 29.9%55 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Winthrop University | 28c | 3,500$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.97 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Conviction | 72c | 3,333$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.2 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Winthrop University | 29c | 2,599$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.54 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Winthrop University | 30c | 2,372$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.68 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Conviction | 45c | 2,042$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.08 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Winthrop University | 43c | 2,022$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.41 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Winthrop University | 52c | 1,731$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.76 | 585 | 59.7%349 W · 236 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Conviction | 51c | 1,585$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.34 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Winthrop University | 32c | 1,582$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.64 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Conviction | 73c | 1,550$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.3 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Winthrop University | 31c | 1,545$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.17 | 428 | 51.2%219 W · 209 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Conviction | 41c | 1,427$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.27 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Winthrop University | 29c | 1,235$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.72 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Conviction | 71c | 1,180$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.78 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6455…2604backed Winthrop University | 39c | 1,178$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.89 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Conviction | 70c | 1,161$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.45 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked Conviction | 72c | 1,111$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 245 | 54.3%133 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0b16backed Winthrop University | 28c | 1,027$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.63 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Winthrop University | 38c | 1,025$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.36 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Winthrop University | 74c | 1,014$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.31 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Conviction | 49c | 1,000$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.98 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Conviction | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…0adcbacked Winthrop University | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Conviction | 73c | 954.27$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.9 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Conviction | 72c | 942.98$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.95 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Winthrop University | 52c | 903.9$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.87 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…0340backed Winthrop University | 30c | 884.58$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.21 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked Winthrop University | 26c | 850.15$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.71 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Conviction | 45c | 788.27$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.64 | 941 | 44.6%420 W · 521 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Conviction | 26c | 780.26$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.87 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Conviction | 68c | 676.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.35 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Conviction | 44c | 646.36$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.4 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Winthrop University | 28c | 645.28$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.43 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed Conviction | 20c | 577.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.06 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Winthrop University | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae6d…795fbacked Winthrop University | 26c | 576.42$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Winthrop University | 46c | 574.41$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.99 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Conviction | 34c | 524.65$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.17 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Conviction | 58c | 520.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.13 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Conviction | 71c | 514.16$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.05 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Conviction | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Winthrop University | 40c | 500$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.04 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Winthrop University | 38c | 500$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Winthrop University | 28c | 491.05$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.45 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Winthrop University | 58c | 475.03$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.46 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Winthrop University | 27c | 464.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.37 | 627 | 39.9%250 W · 377 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Winthrop University | 35c | 464.23$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.8 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…9722backed Winthrop University | 50c | 439.36$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.33 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…bfd1backed Winthrop University | 31c | 366.19$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.67 | 379 | 57.5%218 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Winthrop University | 60c | 340.62$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.31 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…ad06backed Winthrop University | 35c | 331.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.01 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Conviction | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Winthrop University | 37c | 285.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.26 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Conviction | 35c | 275.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…8cc4backed Winthrop University | 28c | 268.4$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.56 | 411 | 51.1%210 W · 201 L | +19.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Conviction | 44c | 265.12$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.35 | 389 | 45.2%176 W · 213 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Winthrop University | 28c | 250$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 524 | 41%215 W · 309 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed Winthrop University | 27c | 227.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.38 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…9dc5backed Winthrop University | 34c | 226.54$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.73 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Winthrop University | 22c | 222.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 425 | 40.7%173 W · 252 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Conviction | 67c | 222.13$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.02 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Winthrop University | 28c | 200.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.98 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Conviction | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Winthrop University | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Conviction | 22c | 192.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 634 | 26%165 W · 469 L | -90.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Winthrop University | 29c | 189.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.48 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Winthrop University | 28c | 182.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.32 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Winthrop University | 51c | 179.61$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.12 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Conviction | 31c | 174.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Winthrop University | 58c | 171.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Conviction | 73c | 170.81$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.35 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…5739backed Winthrop University | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Conviction | 31c | 156.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Conviction | 70c | 154.16$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Winthrop University | 17c | 152.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.94 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…8e36backed Winthrop University | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Conviction | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Winthrop University | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Conviction | 71c | 139.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Conviction | 48c | 134.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Conviction | 38c | 132.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed Winthrop University | 24c | 131.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Conviction | 62c | 127.57$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x907f…27dabacked Winthrop University | 60c | 126.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Winthrop University | 31c | 122.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed Winthrop University | 58c | 120$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 799 | 73.3%586 W · 213 L | +45.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…a334backed Conviction | 69c | 116.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Conviction | 71c | 111.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Conviction | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Winthrop University | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Winthrop University | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Winthrop University | 32c | 94.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Conviction | 51c | 91.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Conviction | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Winthrop University (+1.5)Winthrop University won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageWinthrop University won
- LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University - Game 2 WinnerWinthrop University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.