WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d69026f55bdd9608d0370dba38d90b319f53efe9676cc5c73227f3c8965d17f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Feverof Indiana Fever, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb75b…e377backed PortlandFire | 19c | 11,930$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.9 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed PortlandFire | 1c | 5,625$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked PortlandFire | 0c | 5,079$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed PortlandFire | 21c | 4,947$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.97 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed Indiana Fever | 79c | 4,582$3,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Indiana Fever | 75c | 4,500$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…1975backed PortlandFire | 26c | 4,464$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked PortlandFire | 24c | 3,510$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.82 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed PortlandFire | 23c | 2,424$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.85 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdb…7857backed Indiana Fever | 78c | 2,403$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.17 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Indiana Fever | 71c | 2,329$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.06 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…1c58backed Indiana Fever | 76c | 2,281$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.39 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…e0f2backed Indiana Fever | 74c | 2,125$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed PortlandFire | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Indiana Fever | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed PortlandFire | 25c | 1,782$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.42 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked PortlandFire | 3c | 1,657$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Indiana Fever | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Indiana Fever | 77c | 1,433$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.05 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed PortlandFire | 26c | 1,423$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.03 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Indiana Fever | 80c | 1,399$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.88 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd485…3b87backed Indiana Fever | 75c | 1,354$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PortlandFire | 23c | 1,340$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.19 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969e…b834backed PortlandFire | 31c | 1,050$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.13 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PortlandFire | 24c | 1,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.26 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed PortlandFire | 25c | 999$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Indiana Fever | 71c | 989.38$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked PortlandFire | 2c | 981.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Indiana Fever | 78c | 977.44$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.47 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Fever | 79c | 957.88$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.51 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Indiana Fever | 80c | 956$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.2 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed PortlandFire | 22c | 920.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Indiana Fever | 74c | 907.5$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.95 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Indiana Fever | 73c | 805$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.45 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed PortlandFire | 25c | 774.35$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.59 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed PortlandFire | 25c | 754.52$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.63 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed PortlandFire | 4c | 733.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Indiana Fever | 74c | 726$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.76 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed PortlandFire | 25c | 724.09$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.02 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked PortlandFire | 10c | 722.14$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed PortlandFire | 41c | 713.43$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…3ca0backed Indiana Fever | 75c | 672.98$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked PortlandFire | 26c | 668.2$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.2 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Indiana Fever | 74c | 657.7$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.08 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed PortlandFire | 25c | 629.16$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.41 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…7e45backed Indiana Fever | 80c | 606.57$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 76cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Indiana Fever | 74c | 580.27$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.87 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Indiana Fever | 74c | 555$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed PortlandFire | 26c | 548.08$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed PortlandFire | 18c | 532$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed PortlandFire | 26c | 528.44$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PortlandFire | 26c | 520$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…e2a0backed Indiana Fever | 75c | 465.33$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PortlandFire | 28c | 450$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.81 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed PortlandFire | 25c | 428.92$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.23 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked PortlandFire | 23c | 425.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Indiana Fever | 76c | 423.67$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.63 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked PortlandFire | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked PortlandFire | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 20%15 W · 60 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfede…436dbacked PortlandFire | 27c | 360$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Indiana Fever | 76c | 331.12$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Indiana Fever | 80c | 304.17$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Indiana Fever | 80c | 282.26$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked PortlandFire | 18c | 280$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Indiana Fever | 74c | 277.5$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Indiana Fever | 76c | 269.69$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Indiana Fever | 75c | 256$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PortlandFire | 30c | 222$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed PortlandFire | 25c | 207.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed PortlandFire | 33c | 204.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed PortlandFire | 23c | 201.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed PortlandFire | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Indiana Fever | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Indiana Fever | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked PortlandFire | 9c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed PortlandFire | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Indiana Fever | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed PortlandFire | 24c | 197.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed PortlandFire | 8c | 175$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PortlandFire | 36c | 175$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Indiana Fever | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed PortlandFire | 19c | 163.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed PortlandFire | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Indiana Fever | 74c | 159.58$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed PortlandFire | 12c | 150.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked PortlandFire | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Indiana Fever | 75c | 145.88$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6a…857abacked PortlandFire | 26c | 139.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked PortlandFire | 24c | 138$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Indiana Fever | 78c | 133.85$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe5…1c1cbacked Indiana Fever | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8d…c980backed Indiana Fever | 78c | 122.05$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked PortlandFire | 26c | 121.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed PortlandFire | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked PortlandFire | 22c | 119.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed PortlandFire | 18c | 118$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…781ebacked Indiana Fever | 75c | 111$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed PortlandFire | 26c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed PortlandFire | 25c | 109.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed PortlandFire | 24c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFirethis page
- Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 180.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 183.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 184.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 185.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 186.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 187.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 188.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 189.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.