WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 187.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe780380b21a7446c05a5e277ca9017d88c7c5c50ce73f29234dc4b3988ff37fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 52c | 19,746$10,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,482.3 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 52c | 18,602$9,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,929.29 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 14,172$6,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,802.75 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 52c | 9,940$5,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,757.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 9,508$4,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,518.02 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Under | 50c | 6,640$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 49c | 3,907$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.43 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 3,041$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.76 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 51c | 2,364$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.55 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 1,224$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.82 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.16 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 971.99$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.56 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Over | 52c | 963.06$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.96 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 51c | 947.18$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.54 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 882$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.36 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 49c | 805$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.45 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ed…25bebacked Under | 48c | 415$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 50c | 350$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.07 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 33c | 343.46$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.31 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 49c | 307.51$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 271$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.35 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 50c | 234.67$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.34 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Over | 51c | 210$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 188$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Over | 57c | 173.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 49c | 163.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 35c | 105.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Under | 47c | 99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 18c | 82.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 79c | 81.39$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 50c | 79.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 59c | 78.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 59c | 54.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Over | 50c | 39.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea53…e1ebbacked Over | 52c | 38.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 50c | 35.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked Over | 62c | 32.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Under | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Under | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 49c | 30.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f58…04e4backed Over | 62c | 24.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 42c | 24.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 51c | 23.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 49c | 22.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…1f23backed Over | 50c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 51c | 21.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 187.5this page
- Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFireIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 180.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 183.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 184.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 185.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 186.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 188.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 189.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.