La Liga · resolved market
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x226c47f7ad9e7f63ca333af165faa5f52171aa949f8b2695709c27c628629036
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 14,431$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.38 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 21c | 6,933$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.24 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a307backed No | 79c | 4,980$3,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 19c | 4,563$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.56 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 23c | 4,299$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbebb…1465backed Yes | 20c | 3,917$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 79c | 3,802$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.51 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 21c | 3,436$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.66 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 9c | 3,317$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.03 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…4580backed No | 79c | 3,298$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 21c | 3,219$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.03 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 22c | 2,360$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 2,273$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.01 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…82a5backed Yes | 23c | 2,008$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ad…eae6backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa829…bc90backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 80c | 1,713$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.63 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b9…3d59backed Yes | 6c | 1,705$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 21c | 1,319$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.46 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 78c | 1,300$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed No | 78c | 1,026$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.54 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 20c | 941.95$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.65 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 11c | 719.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf475…8c9ebacked No | 78c | 700$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 22c | 664.96$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.29 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 78c | 655.75$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 23c | 646$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked No | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…8a0dbacked Yes | 23c | 603.61$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 21c | 480$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 22c | 436$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x049d…fef6backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 6c | 390$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 138 | 26.8%37 W · 101 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 18c | 387.9$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 79c | 385.54$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 12c | 357.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…f36cbacked Yes | 23c | 346.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed No | 80c | 343.81$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed No | 79c | 316.05$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…56d8backed Yes | 23c | 300.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 21c | 291.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed No | 79c | 278.48$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 285 | 43.2%123 W · 162 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e8…0e6dbacked Yes | 24c | 254.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…a465backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c57…7c6bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…b321backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…6d64backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 21c | 241.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…97f5backed No | 78c | 230.77$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c277backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x634b…363bbacked Yes | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 21c | 194.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…487dbacked No | 78c | 190.58$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 78c | 180$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 19c | 178$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 6c | 173.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 19c | 170$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad9…65d7backed No | 78c | 164.43$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…ea2cbacked No | 79c | 145.34$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 136.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…46b3backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…7c48backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…6f95backed No | 79c | 126.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked No | 79c | 126.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed No | 79c | 120.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f3…33d2backed Yes | 23c | 117.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822a…861bbacked Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…8924backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…2f0dbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf45…c508backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f3…e710backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x287f…d09abacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…a634backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 18c | 89.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d92…d4b0backed Yes | 23c | 87.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…ac03backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa609…4de6backed No | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f1…1093backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e61…3e4abacked Yes | 23c | 78.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…298fbacked No | 80c | 77.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65e…8415backed Yes | 18c | 77.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…7695backed No | 80c | 72.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…935bbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?Yes won
- Will Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.