La Liga · resolved market
Will Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8921653ebdf7a15bf287b137f060b1feff289abb58ddc6b93e920dc3aa673908
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.97 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 3,618$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.29 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 78c | 2,277$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.73 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 24c | 1,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 79c | 1,377$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 16c | 1,311$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes | 23c | 978.26$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 22c | 804.33$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.95 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 28c | 770$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 75c | 741.46$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.35 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 733.91$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 77c | 688.99$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.47 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed Yes | 23c | 621.74$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 77c | 565.22$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…8733backed Yes | 23c | 440$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 23c | 428.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 25c | 403.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 24c | 375$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed No | 79c | 350.63$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 21c | 316.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 23c | 289$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb032…4e09backed Yes | 23c | 278.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d3…4908backed Yes | 18c | 275.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…6392backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…0b79backed Yes | 24c | 241.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 79c | 219.43$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 21c | 217.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbebb…1465backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…aca8backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Yes | 23c | 215.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…ab6cbacked Yes | 23c | 214.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…e042backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +5.4wins | +0.36per pick | 38cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…c74dbacked Yes | 23c | 182.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 21c | 179.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 77c | 176.7$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad9…65d7backed No | 78c | 164.43$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92dd…96d3backed Yes | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 79c | 133.91$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 17c | 132.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 76c | 117.62$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822a…861bbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 77c | 106.25$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0aa…40d2backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed No | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…b321backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…564fbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f3…e710backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5c…aef8backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 76c | 75.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…72e3backed Yes | 24c | 61.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d15…c59cbacked Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ff…c130backed Yes | 29c | 51.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…d958backed No | 79c | 49.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 77c | 48.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 21c | 48.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed No | 78c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…c0eebacked No | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…635abacked No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…5407backed No | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcc…b19fbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona end in a draw?this page
- Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?Yes won
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.