La Liga · resolved market
Will Alaves vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x624593298443420bb373ae2664fb760b9fd7c5f1cce4e3414482c77e29dcc581
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 8,760$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.51 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 1,998$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.34 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,913$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.1 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 1,478$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.79 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8749…bc74backed No | 70c | 501.41$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 69c | 470.98$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a8…aec0backed No | 70c | 414.29$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…c123backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe360…7d01backed No | 70c | 318.81$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5db…218ebacked No | 70c | 287.14$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…1cb5backed No | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d6…9920backed No | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9f…f2bbbacked No | 70c | 228.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 32c | 218.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…3b5bbacked No | 70c | 207.14$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…dae2backed No | 70c | 204.29$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c33…07fdbacked No | 70c | 198.57$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6c…b36abacked No | 70c | 154.29$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…fae1backed No | 70c | 154.29$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff33…91fbbacked No | 70c | 144.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…1691backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…a363backed No | 70c | 141.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 133.71$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 266 | 45.5%121 W · 145 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 117.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes | 30c | 106.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 425 | 57.9%246 W · 179 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 18c | 94.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 31c | 94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…cdb7backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 70c | 71.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 67c | 69.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 30c | 60.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 66c | 59.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…2551backed Yes | 46c | 52.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81d8…2b8dbacked Yes | 30c | 51.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 30c | 44.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…8924backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 67c | 42.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 71c | 36.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ff…c130backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…deaabacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…df55backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 26.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…20f7backed No | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alaves vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?this page
- Will Alaves win on 2025-11-22?No won
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-11-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.