La Liga · resolved market
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x960c6b97a1a1512c5851f3b77f07e61c444e045df178290966b9ab82fdfb9431
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 9,762$3,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,644.69 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 34c | 5,930$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929.88 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 18c | 4,496$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.18 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 6c | 2,920$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.15 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 29c | 1,999$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.33 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 1,904$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.59 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 12c | 1,553$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.49 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…bdcdbacked No | 68c | 600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ff…ebe9backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 67c | 468.2$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.7 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…7c64backed Yes | 32c | 460$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 19c | 421.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 33c | 367$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.79 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…8401backed No | 68c | 360$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…c123backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 8c | 342.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 38c | 333$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.46 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +7.1wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 18c | 316.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 34c | 296.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.72 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 40c | 268.01$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.01 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 11c | 237.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes | 31c | 132$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 67c | 129.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 32c | 123.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 67c | 120.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked No | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 67c | 103.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Yes | 29c | 99.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 12c | 87.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked No | 69c | 86.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 65c | 83.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 32c | 79.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 68c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…8f51backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…baa4backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 32c | 52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ce…8b91backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1b…d6cbbacked No | 26c | 44.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 30c | 42.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…47f7backed Yes | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…22f0backed Yes | 37c | 38.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4f…f957backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed No | 69c | 28.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 72c | 26.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 68c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 70c | 17.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Alaves vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?No won
- Will Alaves win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.