La Liga · resolved market
Will Alaves win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6641d50514493c1161bfaed7ea2f505214d51ebcec1fda81e42b3a2e6fcdd391
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 38c | 25,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 13,263$8,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,904.9 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed No | 62c | 9,985$6,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,794.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 4,730$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.17 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 66c | 1,513$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.09 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 62c | 950.32$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.1 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 32c | 827.9$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.93 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 62c | 805$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.9 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Yes | 39c | 685.07$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.67 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 63c | 555$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.35 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…5f4dbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 37c | 332.47$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.82 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…c630backed No | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 63c | 314.51$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 77c | 305$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed No | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 29c | 264.78$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb531…b230backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f32…0af7backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ce…d898backed No | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x924f…d049backed Yes | 28c | 143.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes | 35c | 120.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked No | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 113.17$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 37c | 92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 64c | 88.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 65c | 85.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 33c | 79.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 62c | 70.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 32c | 70.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…8f51backed No | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No | 64c | 57.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed No | 70c | 57.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3183…a303backed No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…f150backed No | 69c | 35.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Yes | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x731e…df2cbacked No | 72c | 27.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5e…82e7backed No | 63c | 22.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 62c | 21.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 62c | 16.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 62c | 16.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alaves win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Alaves vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?No won
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-11-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.